rivomarkets

Stats as of

zthunderfury

0xc682d7943aad07c246986a7aa2989cfcb17817bb

+$2.0K
Tracked Trades
189
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 10, 2026
Best In World politics
91% won · 22 settled · +$2.0K

zthunderfury is a Polymarket trader with 189 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 20 wins and 2 losses on settled markets, $2.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? on Oct 10.

Win rate
91%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$591.9K
Typical trade
$1.4K
Avg entry
89¢
Polymarket rank
#2,278

Profit over time

+$3.0K+$0
Aug 20Oct 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
40 to 60¢347%
60 to 80¢1873%100%+27 pts
Over 80¢16890%90%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$503 to $82248100%+$131
$830 to $1.4K4750%-$1.6K
$1.4K to $2.9K47100%+$1.0K
$2.9K to $63K47100%+$2.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics11591%+$2.0K
Commodities30+$0
US elections16+$0
US politics9+$0
Soccer15+$0
Tech and AI2+$0

Side taken

Yes 11%89% No

If you had copied zthunderfury

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$70
Profit
on $2200 staked
20-2
Record
91% win rate
-3%
Return
120 still open
Profit over time22 settled trades
+$71-$112
Aug 17Oct 5
-$200
Max drawdown
227% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.65×
Profit factor
$130 won vs $200 lost
-3.0 pts
Edge vs implied
91% won at 94¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
2 trades

By category

politics22 settled-3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

17 open positions worth $251.7K

The markets zthunderfury is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what zthunderfury is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Oct 10, 15 fills
No82¢sold 83¢$11.5KExited
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 4, 18 fills
No97¢sold 100¢$60.0K+$2.1K
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Oct 4, 3 fills
No93¢$2.3K+$179
See every position across 28 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $60.0K on No at 97¢, Aug 25
    +$2.1K
  2. 2
    US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
    $11.0K on No at 89¢, Sep 26
    +$1.4K
  3. 3
    US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?
    $2.3K on No at 92¢, Aug 20
    +$200
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?97¢18100%+$2.1K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?86¢9+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?93¢15+$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93¢10+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?80¢17+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 13Oct 10

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$1.2K
Sep 2026+$675
Oct 2026+$179

How they build positions

Trimmed a position45%
Added to a position36%
Opened a new position13%
Closed a position6%

Similar Polymarket traders

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