rivomarkets

Stats as of

Icannotwin

0xebf6967890f409db1d8172ae52ad22e5d997a960

+$2.2K
Tracked Trades
1,004
First Seen
Jan 26, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 6, 2026
Best In Other politics
29% won ยท 117 settled ยท +$2.4K

Icannotwin is a Polymarket trader with 1,004 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 37 wins and 95 losses on settled markets, $2.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? on Oct 6.

Win rate
28%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$158.8K
Typical trade
$7
Avg entry
37ยข
Polymarket rank
#3,580

Profit over time

+$3.7K-$1.4K
Jan 26Oct 6

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข8502%6%+4 pts
20 to 40ยข4027%0%-27 pts
40 to 60ยข1250%40%-10 pts
60 to 80ยข1167%50%-17 pts
Over 80ยข9199%100%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $225117%+$32
$2 to $72510%-$54
$7 to $322515%+$1.4K
$32 to $2.0K25145%+$818

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Other politics100328%+$2.2K
Soccer1+$0

Side taken

Yes 93%7% No

If you had copied Icannotwin

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$592
Profit
on $2700 staked
21-6
Record
78% win rate
-22%
Return
8 still open
Profit over time27 settled trades
+$3-$592
Jul 20Oct 5
-$596
Max drawdown
19433% below peak
โ€”
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.01ร—
Profit factor
$8 won vs $600 lost
-1.3 pts
Edge vs implied
78% won at 79ยข avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
16 trades

By category

politics25 settled-24%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

7 open positions worth $12.0K

The markets Icannotwin is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Icannotwin is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
Oct 6
No100ยข$1.5K+$2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
Oct 4
Sold Yessold 0ยข$2Exited
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
Oct 4, 2 fills
Sold Yessold 0ยข$1Exited
See every position across 592 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
    $365 on Yes at 6ยข, Apr 14
    +$5.6K
  2. 2
    Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
    $19 on Yes at 1ยข, Feb 10
    +$2.0K
  3. 3
    Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
    $700 on No at 76ยข, May 12
    +$221
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?100ยข2100%+$4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?100ยข2100%+$3
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?100ยข2100%+$9
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?6ยข10100%+$5.6K
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 9Oct 6

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$127
Feb 2026+$1.4K
Mar 2026-$2.0K
Apr 2026+$3.6K
May 2026-$723
Jul 2026+$10
Aug 2026-$4
Sep 2026+$43
Oct 2026+$4

Polymarket leaderboards

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