Stats as of
PolymarketLicasamadaul
0xf8692cd04a8264de4f91dbc1deb6be45f8d9e2b4
-$11.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 20
- First Seen
- Sep 7, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 16, 2026
Licasamadaul is a Polymarket trader with 20 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 2 wins and 6 losses on settled markets, -$11.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? on Oct 16.
- Win rate
- 25%
- Return on settled
- -57%
- Money traded
- $44.9K
- Typical trade
- $1.5K
- Avg entry
- 65¢
- Polymarket rank
- #7,425
Profit over time
+$0-$16.8K
Sep 11Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢240%100%+60 pts
40 to 60¢455%
60 to 80¢1074%0%-74 pts
Over 80¢494%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$500 to $9855+$0
$985 to $1.3K50%-$2.6K
$1.7K to $4.3K550%+$886
$4.3K to $4.9K50%-$9.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
World politics2025%-$11.6K
Side taken
Yes 80%20% No
If you had copied Licasamadaul
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$296
Profit
on $800 staked
2-6
Record
25% win rate
-37%
Return
6 still open
+$0-$600
Sep 7Oct 12
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 8 so far.
By category
politics8 settled-37%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Oct 16, 6 fills
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 4, 4 fills
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Sep 20, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.2KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.4K on Yes at 40¢, Oct 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?77¢40%-$12.5K
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?62¢6+$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?40¢4100%+$5.2K
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?76¢20%-$4.3K
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?56¢4+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 19Oct 16
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$16.8K
Oct 2026+$5.2K
How they build positions
Closed a position50%
Added to a position25%
Trimmed a position25%
Polymarket leaderboards
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