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Stats as of
4b15h41
+$5.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 329
- First Seen
- Apr 28, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 24, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 18% won · 60 settled · +$6.9K
4b15h41 is a Kalshi trader with 329 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 65 wins and 162 losses on settled markets, $5.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Arsenal,yes Manchester City on Oct 24.
- Win rate
- 29%
- Return on settled
- +39%
- Money traded
- $22.2K
- Typical trade
- $19.13
- Avg entry
- 19¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,427
Profit over time
+$6.8K-$1.8K
Apr 28Oct 24
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢988%11%+3 pts
20 to 40¢8530%24%-6 pts
40 to 60¢9449%42%-7 pts
60 to 80¢2768%38%-29 pts
Over 80¢2590%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $98333%+$179.62
$9 to $198230%-$242.97
$19 to $498218%-$1.2K
$49 to $2.7K8234%+$6.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays7618%+$6.9K
Soccer6517%-$1.2K
Bitcoin11241%-$299.22
Commodities5236%+$62.17
Ethereum2050%-$17.85
MMA30%-$14.37
Side taken
Yes 63%37% No
If you had copied 4b15h41
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$214.35
Profit
on $15,400.00 staked
51-103
Record
33% win rate
+1%
Return
+$1.0K+$0.00
Sep 14Oct 19
-$2.5K
Max drawdown
95% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.02×
Profit factor
$10.5K won vs $10.3K lost
-2.1 pts
Edge vs implied
33% won at 35¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 88 trades
By category
finance34 settled+43%
crypto65 settled-9%
sports53 settled-30%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Arsenal,yes Manchester City
Oct 24
Parlay: Minnesota + New York
Oct 23
Parlay: Stuttgart + Alaves
Oct 23
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.4KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026USNIUS26AT7OUP2Z-IGZX2NQZS$622.65 on Yes at 15¢, Oct 17
- 2+$2.7KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BA9D9A15B6B-3117F174F73$732.82 on Yes at 21¢, Oct 17
- 3+$2.1KParlay: Aston Villa + Real Betis + Real Madrid$1.2K on Yes at 36¢, Oct 21
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BA9D9A15B6B-3117F174F7321¢2100%+$2.7K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?43¢11241%-$299.22
Parlay: Aston Villa + Real Betis + Real Madrid36¢2100%+$2.1K
yes Arsenal,yes Manchester City41¢10%-$844.17
yes Frankfurt,yes Deportivo De La Coruna,yes Le Mans7¢20%-$46.95
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 27Oct 24
Profit by month
Apr 2026+$71.14
May 2026-$336.59
Jun 2026+$315.94
Jul 2026-$810.35
Aug 2026-$24.37
Sep 2026+$69.45
Oct 2026+$6.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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