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Stats as of
adjacent.magpie2519
+$4.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 460
- First Seen
- Jul 23, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 24, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 16% won · 214 settled · +$4.9K
adjacent.magpie2519 is a Kalshi trader with 460 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 109 wins and 324 losses on settled markets, $4.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: NC St. wins on Oct 24.
- Win rate
- 25%
- Return on settled
- +12%
- Money traded
- $51.2K
- Typical trade
- $85.01
- Avg entry
- 11¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,647
Profit over time
+$6.0K-$362.00
Jul 23Oct 24
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2298%11%+3 pts
20 to 40¢11729%25%-4 pts
40 to 60¢8450%58%+8 pts
60 to 80¢1366%67%+0 pts
Over 80¢1794%50%-44 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $341157%-$610.50
$37 to $8511523%+$655.53
$85 to $12011528%+$4.1K
$121 to $3.7K11545%+$530.53
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays22716%+$4.9K
Baseball10541%-$130.25
College football7629%+$547.77
NFL2728%-$755.06
Golf1210%-$70.90
Soccer467%+$349.66
Side taken
Yes 88%12% No
If you had copied adjacent.magpie2519
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$2,294.31
Profit
on $26,300.00 staked
71-192
Record
27% win rate
+9%
Return
+$2.3K-$66.25
Aug 3Oct 19
-$3.5K
Max drawdown
152% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.12×
Profit factor
$21.5K won vs $19.2K lost
+2.4 pts
Edge vs implied
27% won at 25¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 15
- Deepest drawdown
- 91 trades
By category
sports259 settled+8%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
NC St. wins
Oct 24
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026N7KAUBN3D2DDO2QN-VPAZEC25C
Oct 24
yes Wyoming,yes Tulsa,yes Duke
Oct 24
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.6Kyes Philadelphia,yes Cleveland,yes Miami,yes Cincinnati,yes Houston$93.75 on Yes at 6¢, Aug 2
- 2+$1.5Kyes Milwaukee,yes Philadelphia,yes Boston,yes Cleveland,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D$93.70 on Yes at 6¢, Aug 21
- 3+$1.2Kyes Baltimore,yes San Francisco,yes Buffalo$93.07 on Yes at 7¢, Oct 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Penn St.,no Alabama wins by over 7.5 points,no Georgia wins by over 21.5 points,no Louisville wins by over 14.5 points,yes UTSA wins by over 6.5 points2¢20%-$93.28
yes Baltimore,yes Cleveland,yes Philadelphia,yes Minnesota8¢20%-$107.58
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026N7KAUBN3D2DDO2QN-VPAZEC25C1+$0.00
Will New Mexico St. win the New Mexico St. vs Florida St. college football game?4¢30%-$89.02
yes Cleveland,yes New York G3¢20%-$26.95
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 27Oct 24
Profit by month
Jul 2026+$23.03
Aug 2026+$3.7K
Sep 2026-$324.63
Oct 2026+$1.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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