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Stats as of
afraid.oriole4982
+$6.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 378
- First Seen
- Sep 15, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 6% won · 193 settled · +$8.0K
afraid.oriole4982 is a Kalshi trader with 378 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 44 wins and 235 losses on settled markets, $6.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Roschon Johnson: 1+ touchdowns on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 16%
- Return on settled
- +53%
- Money traded
- $26.4K
- Typical trade
- $20.29
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,153
Profit over time
+$8.2K-$24.00
Sep 15Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2193%4%+1 pts
20 to 40¢2430%27%-3 pts
40 to 60¢1146%100%+54 pts
60 to 80¢874%100%+26 pts
Over 80¢1695%60%-35 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $9702%-$328.40
$9 to $20703%+$81.10
$20 to $656912%+$4.6K
$70 to $3.3K6934%+$2.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays2236%+$8.0K
NFL2453%-$1.2K
Soccer1829%-$154.98
Tennis920%-$48.34
Baseball20%-$64.52
College football20%-$65.48
Side taken
Yes 96%4% No
If you had copied afraid.oriole4982
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$12,776.67
Profit
on $21,900.00 staked
24-195
Record
11% win rate
+58%
Return
+$16.3K+$0.00
Sep 14Nov 2
-$6.6K
Max drawdown
36% below peak
1.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.66×
Profit factor
$32.3K won vs $19.5K lost
+1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
11% won at 9¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 62
- Deepest drawdown
- 119 trades
By category
sports217 settled+57%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Roschon Johnson: 1+ touchdowns
Nov 3, 2 fills
yes Jarrett Allen: 15+,yes Alperen Sengun: 10+,yes AJ Dybantsa: 10+,yes Matas Buzelis: 2+,yes Ausar Thompson: 4+,yes Seattle,yes D'Andre Swift: 2+,yes D'Andre Swift: 10+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 50+,yes Zach Charbonnet: 10+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored
Nov 3, 2 fills
yes Seattle,yes Sam Darnold: 1+,yes Caleb Williams: 150+,yes Sam Darnold: 150+,yes D'Andre Swift: 2+,yes D'Andre Swift: 10+,yes Rome Odunze: 15+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 50+,yes Emanuel Wilson: 20+,yes Zach Charbonnet: 10+,yes D'Andre Swift: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+
Nov 2
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.3Kyes Dalton Kincaid: 1+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+,yes Sam LaPorta: 1+$23.33 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 17
- 2+$2.4Kyes Josh Allen: 200+,yes Matthew Stafford: 225+,yes Kyren Williams: 2+,yes Khalil Shakir: 40+,yes Davante Adams: 25+,yes Puka Nacua: 50+,yes James Cook III: 40+,yes Kyren Williams: 40+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes Davante Adams: 1+,yes Kyren Williams: 1+$77.50 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 12
- 3+$2.1Kyes Aaron Rodgers: 1+,yes Aaron Rodgers: 175+,yes Denzel Boston: 2+,yes DK Metcalf: 2+,yes Jaylen Warren: 2+,yes Pat Freiermuth: 2+,yes Denzel Boston: 25+,yes Deshaun Watson: 15+,yes Quinshon Judkins: 30+,yes Jaylen Warren: 50+,yes Roman Wilson: 1+,no Over 59.5 points$46.61 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 1
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Dalton Kincaid: 1+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+,yes Sam LaPorta: 1+1¢2100%+$3.3K
Roschon Johnson: 1+ touchdowns18¢20%-$1.6K
yes Stefon Diggs: 2+,yes Stefon Diggs: 15+,yes Saquon Barkley: 30+,yes Saquon Barkley: 1+,yes Over 3.5 goals scored27¢2100%+$1.4K
yes Aaron Rodgers: 1+,yes Aaron Rodgers: 175+,yes Denzel Boston: 2+,yes DK Metcalf: 2+,yes Jaylen Warren: 2+,yes Pat Freiermuth: 2+,yes Denzel Boston: 25+,yes Deshaun Watson: 15+,yes Quinshon Judkins: 30+,yes Jaylen Warren: 50+,yes Roman Wilson: 1+,no Over 59.5 points2¢2100%+$2.1K
yes Christian Watson: 2+,yes Josh Jacobs: 2+,yes Christian Watson: 30+,yes Josh Jacobs: 10+,yes Josh Jacobs: 1+1+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$2.2K
Oct 2026+$3.1K
Nov 2026+$1.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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