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Stats as of

Alexs216411

alexs216411

-$1.6K
Tracked Trades
637
First Seen
Jun 26, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 31, 2026
Best In NBA
33% won · 45 settled · +$2.7K

Alexs216411 is a Kalshi trader with 637 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 134 wins and 323 losses on settled markets, -$1.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Philadelphia wins on Oct 31.

Win rate
29%
Return on settled
-11%
Money traded
$36.8K
Typical trade
$24.09
Avg entry
28¢
Kalshi rank
#3,540

Profit over time

+$1.1K-$2.2K
Jun 26Oct 31

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢15312%6%-6 pts
20 to 40¢21130%34%+4 pts
40 to 60¢16248%41%-7 pts
60 to 80¢4269%50%-19 pts
Over 80¢6990%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1016022%-$76.91
$10 to $2415930%-$193.71
$24 to $4815933%-$935.42
$48 to $1.5K15937%-$361.51

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis33627%-$1.5K
NBA4433%+$27.35
Baseball6447%+$424.12
Golf220%-$453.81
College football6429%+$75.03
NFL4230%+$119.57

Side taken

Yes 71%29% No

If you had copied Alexs216411

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$2,221.46
Profit
on $14,300.00 staked
48-95
Record
34% win rate
-16%
Return
Profit over time143 settled trades
+$0.00-$2.2K
Aug 10Oct 26
-$2.4K
Max drawdown
2993% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.77×
Profit factor
$7.3K won vs $9.5K lost
-3.0 pts
Edge vs implied
34% won at 37¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
137 trades

By category

sports140 settled-14%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Philadelphia wins
Oct 31
Sold Nosold 1¢$0.65Exited
Philadelphia wins
Oct 31
Yes92¢$59.53+$5.18
New York wins
Oct 31
Sold Nosold 92¢$735.76Exited
See every position across 242 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Alan Magadan win the Sakamoto vs Magadan: Round Of 32 match?
    $304.88 on Yes at 26¢, Jun 30
    +$877.05
  2. 2
    Will Luca Castagnola win the Castagnola vs Cerny: M15 Umag Semifinal match?
    $240.40 on Yes at 26¢, Jul 4
    +$672.67
  3. 3
    San Francisco wins
    $353.47 on Yes at 38¢, Oct 11
    +$568.65
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Nikita Filin win the Filin vs Poling: M25 East Lansing Semifinal match?32¢60%-$689.34
New York wins29¢130%-$594.62
Will Nicolas Mejia win the Mejia vs Zheng: Round Of 64 match?29¢60%-$436.14
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 3M Open?13¢40%-$141.39
Minnesota vs New York Y Winner?22¢60%-$190.46

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 3Oct 31

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$1.0K
Jul 2026-$2.0K
Aug 2026-$854.26
Sep 2026-$230.74
Oct 2026+$561.45

Kalshi leaderboards

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