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Stats as of

ambitious.dog3981

+$38.0K
Tracked Trades
999
First Seen
Oct 4, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 23, 2026
Best In Parlays
87% won · 467 settled · +$35.3K

ambitious.dog3981 is a Kalshi trader with 999 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 586 wins and 251 losses on settled markets, $38.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Indiana wins on Oct 23.

Win rate
70%
Return on settled
+17%
Money traded
$262.4K
Typical trade
$75
Avg entry
63¢
Kalshi rank
#107

Profit over time

+$45.7K+$0
Oct 4Oct 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢13511%7%-4 pts
20 to 40¢17027%50%+23 pts
40 to 60¢14550%55%+5 pts
60 to 80¢20070%80%+11 pts
Over 80¢34990%92%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1025052%-$8
$10 to $7525057%+$903
$77 to $26825077%+$6.7K
$272 to $10.0K24992%+$30.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays54987%+$34.0K
Tennis23667%+$7.0K
NFL11533%-$831
College football516%-$1.3K
NBA2475%+$306
Baseball177%-$973

Side taken

Yes 89%11% No

If you had copied ambitious.dog3981

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$11175
Profit
on $83700 staked
586-251
Record
70% win rate
+13%
Return
48 still open
Profit over time837 settled trades
+$16.7K-$1.3K
Sep 28Oct 19
-$9.3K
Max drawdown
46% below peak
1.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.45×
Profit factor
$36.3K won vs $25.1K lost
+6.8 pts
Edge vs implied
70% won at 63¢ avg
Longest losing streak
62
Deepest drawdown
353 trades

By category

sports837 settled+13%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $31

The markets ambitious.dog3981 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what ambitious.dog3981 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Indiana wins
Oct 23, 2 fills
Yes46¢$206-$206
New England wins
Oct 23
Sold Nosold 96¢$362Exited
New England wins
Oct 23
Yes15¢$57-$57
See every position across 226 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Alan Wazny wins
    $2.3K on Yes at 33¢, Oct 16
    +$4.6K
  2. 2
    yes Braga / Schenekenberg,yes Clemson
    $6.6K on Yes at 62¢, Oct 13
    +$4.1K
  3. 3
    yes Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso,yes Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
    $4.1K on Yes at 51¢, Oct 9
    +$3.9K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Biro / Wanja Brune Olsen,yes Clemson89¢13100%+$1.6K
yes Giovanni Branchetti,yes Peet / Sarganella Verdu86¢14100%+$1.9K
Parlay: Julian Cundom + Noah Zamora99¢1100%+$142
yes Braga / Schenekenberg,yes Clemson62¢15100%+$4.1K
yes Yuka Matsumoto,yes Jannat Chiripal,yes Lidia Podgorichani66¢18100%+$3.6K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 26Oct 23

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$38.0K

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