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Stats as of
ancient.bear8061
-$323.94
- Tracked Trades
- 525
- First Seen
- Aug 16, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 6, 2026
- Best In Soccer
- 68% won · 71 settled · +$2.1K
ancient.bear8061 is a Kalshi trader with 525 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 172 wins and 198 losses on settled markets, -$323.94 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Baltimore wins on Nov 6.
- Win rate
- 46%
- Return on settled
- -1%
- Money traded
- $61.0K
- Typical trade
- $39.64
- Avg entry
- 42¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,153
Profit over time
+$2.4K-$1.2K
Aug 16Nov 6
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢888%4%-4 pts
20 to 40¢8631%33%+3 pts
40 to 60¢14049%51%+3 pts
60 to 80¢11370%73%+4 pts
Over 80¢9890%84%-6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1013226%-$2.74
$10 to $4013150%+$57.80
$43 to $10713152%-$167.19
$108 to $2.0K13163%-$211.81
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer8668%+$2.1K
Bitcoin32540%-$720.73
Parlays4638%-$695.30
NFL3443%-$1.0K
Baseball886%+$212.35
Boxing1755%-$240.13
Side taken
Yes 68%32% No
If you had copied ancient.bear8061
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$231.58
Profit
on $29,000.00 staked
140-150
Record
48% win rate
+1%
Return
3 still open
+$1.4K-$992.71
Aug 10Nov 2
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
110% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.02×
Profit factor
$15.2K won vs $15.0K lost
+0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 48¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 10
- Deepest drawdown
- 53 trades
By category
crypto153 settled+6%
sports134 settled-9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Baltimore wins
Nov 6, 2 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 5, 7 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 5, 5 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.0KShanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan Winner?$954.56 on Yes at 32¢, Aug 18
- 2+$578.11America vs San Luis Winner?$1.6K on Yes at 74¢, Aug 16
- 3+$412.86BTC price up in next 15 mins?$125.73 on No at 23¢, Nov 5
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?35¢32540%-$720.73
Pachuca vs Puebla Winner?84¢567%-$732.58
Guarani vs Ypiranga Winner?87¢3100%+$162.50
Mendoza vs Talleres Cordoba Winner?86¢3100%+$149.19
America vs San Luis Winner?74¢1100%+$578.11
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 9Nov 6
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$712.37
Sep 2026-$334.95
Oct 2026-$1.0K
Nov 2026+$302.88
Kalshi leaderboards
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