rivomarkets

Stats as of

ariel1212

-$275
Tracked Trades
86
First Seen
Jun 30, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 11, 2026

ariel1212 is a Kalshi trader with 86 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 5 wins and 31 losses on settled markets, -$275 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Mookie Betts: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Jackson Chourio: 1+,yes Michael Penix Jr.: 175+,yes Tyler Huntley: 125+,yes Drake London: 50+,yes Bijan Robinson: 16+,yes Derrick Henry: 18+,yes Bijan Robinson: 60+,yes Derrick Henry: 60+,yes Tyler Huntley: 10+ on Oct 11.

Win rate
14%
Return on settled
-34%
Money traded
$3.0K
Typical trade
$14
Avg entry
4¢
Kalshi rank
#4,898

Profit over time

+$11-$485
Jul 1Oct 11

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢686%4%-2 pts
20 to 40¢727%0%-27 pts
40 to 60¢548%50%+2 pts
60 to 80¢470%33%-36 pts
Over 80¢287%100%+13 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $9220%-$42
$9 to $14220%-$115
$14 to $242120%+$98
$24 to $1.4K2133%-$216

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays754%-$157
Soccer633%-$176
NFL450%+$29
MMA1100%+$29

Side taken

Yes 97%3% No

If you had copied ariel1212

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$710
Profit
on $2300 staked
3-20
Record
13% win rate
-31%
Return
15 still open
Profit over time23 settled trades
+$0-$710
Jul 13Oct 5
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.64×
Profit factor
$1.3K won vs $2.0K lost
-1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
13% won at 15¢ avg
Longest losing streak
11
Deepest drawdown
19 trades

By category

sports23 settled-31%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

14 open positions worth $261

The markets ariel1212 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what ariel1212 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Mookie Betts: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Jackson Chourio: 1+,yes Michael Penix Jr.: 175+,yes Tyler Huntley: 125+,yes Drake London: 50+,yes Bijan Robinson: 16+,yes Derrick Henry: 18+,yes Bijan Robinson: 60+,yes Derrick Henry: 60+,yes Tyler Huntley: 10+
Oct 11
Yes2¢$23-$23
yes Freddie Freeman: 1+,yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Mookie Betts: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+,yes Jackson Chourio: 1+,yes William Contreras: 1+
Oct 11
Yes3¢$14-$14
yes Los Angeles D,yes Enrique Hernández: 1+,yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Mookie Betts: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Andrew Vaughn: 1+,yes Jackson Chourio: 1+,yes William Contreras: 1+,yes Tarik Skubal: 6+,yes Jacob Misiorowski: 6+
Oct 11
Yes1¢$9-$9
See every position across 80 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Baltimore,yes Michael Penix Jr.: 175+,yes Tyler Huntley: 150+,yes Rashod Bateman: 25+,yes Tyler Huntley: 10+
    $23 on Yes at 8¢, Oct 11
    +$256
  2. 2
    Dallas wins
    $33 on Yes at 42¢, Oct 4
    +$45
  3. 3
    Joshua Van wins
    $47 on Yes at 62¢, Sep 20
    +$29
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20268F84B454D56-CAD5CCBB9541+$0
Mexico vs England: To Advance48¢10%-$96
Dallas wins42¢2100%+$45
Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance62¢10%-$66
Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance80¢1100%+$14

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 14Oct 11

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$291
Sep 2026-$61
Oct 2026+$77

Kalshi leaderboards

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