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Stats as of

arpad1

+$2.6K
Tracked Trades
114
First Seen
Jun 30, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 8, 2026
Best In Parlays
10% won · 51 settled · +$2.7K

arpad1 is a Kalshi trader with 114 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 15 wins and 76 losses on settled markets, $2.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Monaco,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 29.5 points,yes Over 43.5 points,yes Over 31.5 points,yes Over 37.5 points,yes Over 29.5 points,yes Over 39.5 points,yes Over 30.5 points,yes Over 39.5 points,yes Over 41.5 points,yes Over 28.5 points,yes Over 37.5 points,yes Over 37.5 points,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored on Nov 8.

Win rate
16%
Return on settled
+113%
Money traded
$4.3K
Typical trade
$9.64
Avg entry
4¢
Kalshi rank
#2,392

Profit over time

+$2.6K-$192.00
Jun 30Nov 8

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢586%4%-2 pts
20 to 40¢2629%10%-19 pts
40 to 60¢1349%27%-22 pts
60 to 80¢969%86%+16 pts
Over 80¢890%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $6294%+$2.0K
$7 to $10294%-$228.40
$10 to $292827%+$146.74
$34 to $1.0K2839%+$670.28

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays5710%+$2.7K
Bitcoin2825%+$77.91
Soccer2824%-$133.86
Baseball10%-$4.50

Side taken

Yes 94%6% No

If you had copied arpad1

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$44,812.29
Profit
on $5,100.00 staked
7-44
Record
14% win rate
+879%
Return
Profit over time51 settled trades
+$44.8K+$0.00
Sep 28Nov 2
-$3.4K
Max drawdown
108% below peak
13.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
11.18×
Profit factor
$49.2K won vs $4.4K lost
-4.6 pts
Edge vs implied
14% won at 18¢ avg
Longest losing streak
27
Deepest drawdown
43 trades

By category

sports36 settled+1266%
crypto15 settled-50%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Monaco,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 29.5 points,yes Over 43.5 points,yes Over 31.5 points,yes Over 37.5 points,yes Over 29.5 points,yes Over 39.5 points,yes Over 30.5 points,yes Over 39.5 points,yes Over 41.5 points,yes Over 28.5 points,yes Over 37.5 points,yes Over 37.5 points,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Nov 8
Yes0¢$5.73-$5.73
yes Cincinnati,yes New Orleans,yes Dallas,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Green Bay,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles R,yes New York G,yes Chicago,yes Seattle wins by over 6.5 points,yes San Francisco wins by over 9.5 points,yes Kansas City wins by over 9.5 points
Nov 8
Yes0¢$4.58+$2.1K
yes Kylian Mbappe: 1+,yes Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Over 3.5 goals scored
Nov 7, 2 fills
Yes30¢sold 45¢$28.60-$28.60
See every position across 83 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Cincinnati,yes New Orleans,yes Dallas,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Green Bay,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles R,yes New York G,yes Chicago,yes Seattle wins by over 6.5 points,yes San Francisco wins by over 9.5 points,yes Kansas City wins by over 9.5 points
    $4.58 on Yes at 0¢, Nov 8
    +$2.1K
  2. 2
    yes Reg Time: Portugal,yes Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+,yes Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored
    $284.82 on Yes at 24¢, Jul 2
    +$892.12
  3. 3
    no Both Teams To Score,yes Montenegro,yes Spain,yes Finland,yes Iceland,yes Belarus wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored
    $11.77 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 2
    +$408.59
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Reg Time: Portugal,yes Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+,yes Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored24¢2100%+$892.12
BTC price up in next 15 mins?36¢2626%+$87.48
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?82¢1100%+$54.00
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Liverpool,yes Aston Villa,yes Stuttgart,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored6¢30%-$23.41
Will Belgium win in Extra Time?74¢2100%+$18.98

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 11Nov 8

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$8.83
Jul 2026+$389.76
Sep 2026-$9.35
Oct 2026+$308.75
Nov 2026+$1.9K

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