rivomarkets

Stats as of

Kalshi

assured.butterfly8630

-$61
Tracked Trades
77
First Seen
Jun 25, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 25, 2026

assured.butterfly8630 is a Kalshi trader with 77 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 10 wins and 12 losses on settled markets, -$61 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202641DEA9C3FF5-7DF40D3F823 on Sep 25.

Win rate
45%
Return on settled
-60%
Money traded
$7.1K
Typical trade
$8
Avg entry
1¢
Kalshi rank
#4,853

Profit over time

+$9-$61
Jun 25Sep 24

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢383%0%-3 pts
20 to 40¢629%0%-29 pts
40 to 60¢1950%55%+5 pts
60 to 80¢868%50%-18 pts
Over 80¢693%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $22060%+$3
$2 to $81967%+$2
$8 to $9190%-$19
$9 to $4.3K190%-$47

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays440%-$42
Baseball3356%-$19

Side taken

Yes 79%21% No

If you had copied assured.butterfly8630

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$500
Profit
on $500 staked
0-5
Record
0% win rate
-100%
Return
20 still open
Profit over time5 settled trades
+$0-$500
Jul 13Sep 21

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 5 so far.

By category

other5 settled-100%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

21 open positions worth $192

The markets assured.butterfly8630 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what assured.butterfly8630 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202641DEA9C3FF5-7DF40D3F823
Sep 25
Sold Nosold 95¢$1.1KExited
yes Pittsburgh,yes Chicago WS,yes Chicago C,yes Arizona,yes Philadelphia,yes Boston,yes Tampa Bay,yes Houston,yes Seattle
Sep 24
Yes1¢$9-$9
yes Baltimore,yes Milwaukee,yes St. Louis,yes New York Y,yes Boston,yes Kansas City,yes Chicago C,yes New York M,yes Arizona,yes Los Angeles A
Sep 24
Yes4¢$9-$9
See every position across 53 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Philadelphia vs Washington Winner?
    $9 on Yes at 59¢, Jun 26
    +$6
  2. 2
    Houston vs Detroit Winner?
    $4 on Yes at 49¢, Jun 25
    +$4
  3. 3
    Kansas City vs Chicago WS Winner?
    $4 on Yes at 70¢, Jun 27
    +$2
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Milwaukee,yes Atlanta,yes Pittsburgh,yes Boston,yes Chicago C,yes New York M,yes Cleveland,yes Chicago WS,yes Tampa Bay,yes Houston,yes Toronto,yes St. Louis,yes New York Y,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles D0¢2+$0
yes Detroit,yes Baltimore,yes Tampa Bay,yes Chicago WS,yes Milwaukee,yes Los Angeles D,yes Atlanta,yes New York Y1¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202641DEA9C3FF5-7DF40D3F8231+$0
New York Y vs Boston Winner?52¢40%-$16
yes Detroit,yes Texas,yes Cincinnati,yes Minnesota,yes Colorado,yes A's,yes Arizona15¢1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 28Sep 25

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$10
Aug 2026-$10
Sep 2026-$42

Kalshi leaderboards

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