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Stats as of

aucub

+$3.5K
Tracked Trades
345
First Seen
Sep 12, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
98% won · 251 settled · +$2.9K

This trader is a closer

72% of this trader's buys are at 95¢ or higher, on outcomes that are nearly decided. The win rate is high because the odds are short: copying them risks 95¢ or more to make 5¢ or less. If you want better odds, skip their 95¢+ buys or pick someone else.

aucub is a Kalshi trader with 345 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 321 wins and 20 losses on settled markets, $3.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? on Nov 2.

Win rate
94%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$523.7K
Typical trade
$999.93
Avg entry
96¢
Kalshi rank
#1,725

Profit over time

+$4.5K-$1.6K
Sep 12Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢213%
20 to 40¢431%50%+19 pts
40 to 60¢1451%36%-15 pts
60 to 80¢669%83%+14 pts
Over 80¢31997%97%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$3 to $4988787%-$721.08
$499 to $10008691%-$2.0K
$1000 to $2.0K8699%+$2.2K
$2.0K to $6.0K86100%+$4.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin25498%+$2.9K
NFL5784%-$777.22
College football2186%+$777.71
Baseball575%+$268.92
US elections1100%+$1.6K
Soccer580%-$823.82

Side taken

Yes 48%52% No

If you had copied aucub

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$184.59
Profit
on $20,300.00 staked
187-16
Record
92% win rate
-1%
Return
Profit over time203 settled trades
+$273.87-$237.44
Sep 7Nov 2
-$820.97
Max drawdown
185% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.88×
Profit factor
$1.4K won vs $1.6K lost
-0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
92% won at 93¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
32 trades

By category

crypto125 settled+2%
other31 settled-0%
sports45 settled-11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
Nov 2
Yes75¢$4.9K+$1.6K
Full Game: over 41.5 points scored?
Nov 2, 2 fills
No99¢$999.30+$10.09
Full Game: over 40.5 points scored?
Nov 2, 14 fills
No96¢$1.5K+$68.72
See every position across 203 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
    $4.9K on Yes at 75¢, Nov 2
    +$1.6K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $837.88 on No at 40¢, Oct 4
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    DAL Cowboys wins by over 9.5 points?
    $1.1K on No at 52¢, Oct 8
    +$982.38
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?98¢25498%+$2.9K
Tampa Bay wins71¢467%-$194.91
Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?75¢1100%+$1.6K
Michigan wins97¢1100%+$142.38
Notre Dame wins89¢3100%+$486.39

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.5K
Oct 2026-$313.49
Nov 2026+$2.4K

Kalshi leaderboards

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