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Stats as of
auspicious.blackbird3781
-$537.10
- Tracked Trades
- 200
- First Seen
- Jun 30, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In Soccer
- 31% won · 54 settled · +$1.1K
auspicious.blackbird3781 is a Kalshi trader with 200 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 32 wins and 115 losses on settled markets, -$537.10 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026D6WTWWQY3KAU3AGL-I77JNF4UY on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 22%
- Return on settled
- -2%
- Money traded
- $53.5K
- Typical trade
- $51.14
- Avg entry
- 6¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,901
Profit over time
+$156.00-$4.3K
Jun 30Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1076%9%+3 pts
20 to 40¢3029%29%+0 pts
40 to 60¢1849%62%+13 pts
60 to 80¢1369%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢3294%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $265013%+$47.50
$27 to $515020%+$841.06
$51 to $1755024%+$253.14
$179 to $4.7K5044%-$1.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays13116%-$1.6K
Soccer6831%+$1.1K
NFL10%-$18.73
Side taken
Yes 74%26% No
If you had copied auspicious.blackbird3781
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$755.00
Profit
on $11,700.00 staked
25-92
Record
21% win rate
+6%
Return
+$755.00-$2.3K
Aug 31Nov 2
-$4.4K
Max drawdown
3702% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.08×
Profit factor
$10.0K won vs $9.2K lost
+3.7 pts
Edge vs implied
21% won at 18¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 20
- Deepest drawdown
- 78 trades
By category
sports94 settled+21%
other21 settled-61%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026D6WTWWQY3KAU3AGL-I77JNF4UY
Nov 3
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026M7P6DLEKREBS5WWW-OPWVM7SP7
Nov 3
no Shabab Al-Ahli,yes Bayern Munich,yes Barcelona,yes Inter,yes Galatasaray,no Tie,yes PSG
Nov 3
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.5Kno Shabab Al-Ahli,yes Bayern Munich,yes Barcelona,yes Inter,yes Galatasaray,no Tie,yes PSG$47.62 on Yes at 3¢, Nov 3
- 2+$1.1KEngland wins$4.7K on Yes at 81¢, Sep 29
- 3+$717.26yes Bayern Munich,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Real Madrid,yes PSG,yes Juventus,no Udinese$81.47 on Yes at 10¢, Oct 25
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
England wins81¢2100%+$1.1K
Honduras wins97¢1100%+$115.04
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FWV7CXA4QPDQ3LPZ-GCDYPMSWU1+$0.00
Guatemala wins91¢1100%+$272.73
yes Bayern Munich,yes Aston Villa,no Tie,no Tie,yes Manchester City,yes Tottenham,yes Barcelona,yes Atletico,yes Real Betis,yes Atlas,yes Juarez,no Tie,no Monza,no Udinese1¢20%-$23.31
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$95.84
Jul 2026-$207.02
Sep 2026-$241.67
Oct 2026-$1.4K
Nov 2026+$1.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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