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Stats as of
bad.shift
-$3
- Tracked Trades
- 288
- First Seen
- Jan 4, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 30% won · 50 settled · +$497
bad.shift is a Kalshi trader with 288 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 85 wins and 132 losses on settled markets, -$3 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202627316BA5EF4-D12B259A7E9 on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 39%
- Return on settled
- +-0%
- Money traded
- $44.2K
- Typical trade
- $47
- Avg entry
- 33¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,765
Profit over time
+$1.4K-$1.5K
Jan 4Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4911%7%-3 pts
20 to 40¢7130%34%+4 pts
40 to 60¢8150%36%-14 pts
60 to 80¢5568%62%-7 pts
Over 80¢3292%62%-30 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $127232%-$67
$12 to $477232%-$480
$47 to $977241%-$463
$97 to $5.1K7256%+$1.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
College football1083%-$247
Parlays6230%+$497
NFL7146%-$375
Bitcoin10245%-$381
Soccer933%+$243
Baseball1133%+$426
Side taken
Yes 59%41% No
If you had copied bad.shift
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1896
Profit
on $13000 staked
54-76
Record
42% win rate
-15%
Return
+$373-$1.9K
Jul 27Oct 12
-$4.2K
Max drawdown
210% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.75×
Profit factor
$5.7K won vs $7.6K lost
-8.0 pts
Edge vs implied
42% won at 50¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 20
- Deepest drawdown
- 88 trades
By category
crypto74 settled-9%
sports55 settled-24%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202627316BA5EF4-D12B259A7E9
Oct 13
yes Buffalo,no Over 48.5 points
Oct 13
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 12
Biggest wins
- 1+$957yes ATL Falcons wins by over 17.5 points,yes Over 63.5 points$177 on Yes at 16¢, Oct 6
- 2+$825yes Denver,yes Over 45.5 points scored$210 on Yes at 20¢, Sep 28
- 3+$539KXMLBTOTAL-26OCT042000ATLLAD-9$633 on No at 54¢, Oct 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
USC wins6¢50%-$515
BTC price up in next 15 mins?41¢8935%-$740
yes USA advances,yes Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored24¢30%-$475
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202627316BA5EF4-D12B259A7E91+$0
Full Game: over 57.5 points scored?54¢180%-$484
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Jan 2026+$57
Feb 2026+$243
Jun 2026+$688
Jul 2026-$1.4K
Aug 2026+$34
Sep 2026-$736
Oct 2026+$1.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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