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Stats as of

bag.arm1234

+$633.78
Tracked Trades
352
First Seen
Aug 10, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 13, 2026
Best In Parlays
34% won ยท 89 settled ยท +$1.7K

bag.arm1234 is a Kalshi trader with 352 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 79 wins and 164 losses on settled markets, $633.78 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026E74CE08C106-056A6ED8B74 on Oct 13.

Win rate
33%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$40.5K
Typical trade
$41.18
Avg entry
30ยข
Kalshi rank
#4,049

Profit over time

+$2.6K-$649.00
Aug 10Oct 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข739%13%+4 pts
20 to 40ยข9829%23%-6 pts
40 to 60ยข9949%37%-12 pts
60 to 80ยข5069%67%-2 pts
Over 80ยข3289%80%-9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $198822%-$237.15
$19 to $418832%-$602.14
$41 to $978832%-$69.54
$97 to $4.4K8848%+$1.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays14034%+$1.7K
Cricket8324%-$2.8K
Tennis2647%+$250.37
NFL1467%+$2.2K
WNBA3033%+$48.06
Golf120%-$104.56

Side taken

Yes 66%34% No

If you had copied bag.arm1234

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$3,021.96
Profit
on $19,800.00 staked
69-129
Record
35% win rate
-15%
Return
Profit over time198 settled trades
+$0.00-$3.4K
Aug 10Oct 12
-$3.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
โ€”
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.77ร—
Profit factor
$9.9K won vs $12.9K lost
-7.0 pts
Edge vs implied
35% won at 42ยข avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
163 trades

By category

finance22 settled-12%
sports175 settled-15%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026E74CE08C106-056A6ED8B74
Oct 13
Sold Nosold 88ยข$1.7KExited
Pakistan wins
Oct 13
Sold Nosold 80ยข$513.17Exited
Pakistan wins
Oct 13
Yes42ยข$734.97-$734.97
See every position across 208 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Buffalo wins
    $694.04 on Yes at 23ยข, Oct 13
    +$2.4K
  2. 2
    yes Ben Kohles,yes Christiaan Bezuidenhout,yes Doug Ghim,yes Jordan Spieth
    $93.80 on Yes at 6ยข, Oct 10
    +$1.4K
  3. 3
    jiale Zhang wins
    $945.44 on Yes at 56ยข, Oct 13
    +$740.21
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Sandro Kopp,yes Gabriela Knutson2ยข20%-$93.33
jiale Zhang wins56ยข4100%+$740.21
Will Katie Volynets win set 1 in the Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Volynets match35ยข20%-$669.54
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026E74CE08C106-056A6ED8B741+$0.00
Buffalo wins23ยข5100%+$2.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 16Oct 13

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$422.15
Sep 2026+$307.88
Oct 2026+$748.05

Kalshi leaderboards

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