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Stats as of

big45mac

+$1.5K
Tracked Trades
352
First Seen
Jul 2, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 1, 2026
Best In NFL
26% won · 19 settled · +$1.1K

big45mac is a Kalshi trader with 352 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 62 wins and 155 losses on settled markets, $1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 1.

Win rate
29%
Return on settled
+8%
Money traded
$51.8K
Typical trade
$33.69
Avg entry
28¢
Kalshi rank
#3,308

Profit over time

+$3.2K-$1.2K
Jul 2Nov 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢918%9%+0 pts
20 to 40¢9730%25%-5 pts
40 to 60¢8050%56%+5 pts
60 to 80¢3271%83%+13 pts
Over 80¢5292%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $108815%-$131.22
$11 to $348831%+$53.32
$34 to $1058831%+$1.0K
$108 to $3.9K8850%+$527.84

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin21225%-$429.12
NFL2726%+$1.1K
College football3453%-$50.44
Solana130%-$97.74
Parlays475%+$930.83
Other crypto120%-$175.51

Side taken

Yes 56%44% No

If you had copied big45mac

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$357.31
Profit
on $10,700.00 staked
32-75
Record
30% win rate
+3%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time107 settled trades
+$1.6K-$1.2K
Aug 24Oct 26
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
92% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.05×
Profit factor
$7.9K won vs $7.5K lost
-0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 30¢ avg
Longest losing streak
14
Deepest drawdown
47 trades

By category

sports35 settled-21%
crypto65 settled-24%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $465.90

The markets big45mac is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what big45mac is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 1, 2 fills
Yes31¢sold 43¢$938.37-$938.37
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 1
Sold Yessold 51¢$562.02Exited
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 1
No59¢$760.13-$760.13
See every position across 123 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $664.32 on No at 18¢, Oct 30
    +$2.9K
  2. 2
    Bitcoin price on Oct 30, 2026?
    $1.8K on Yes at 54¢, Oct 30
    +$1.5K
  3. 3
    Buffalo wins
    $732.14 on Yes at 39¢, Oct 13
    +$1.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?22¢15920%-$685.73
Bitcoin price on Oct 30, 2026?52¢667%+$548.07
Bitcoin price on Oct 14, 2026?27¢2531%-$647.07
SOL price up in next 15 mins?5¢130%-$97.74
Buffalo wins39¢5100%+$1.2K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 4Nov 1

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$20.34
Aug 2026-$23.71
Sep 2026-$204.83
Oct 2026+$3.4K
Nov 2026-$1.7K

Kalshi leaderboards

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