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Stats as of
billsobrien
-$8.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 517
- First Seen
- Oct 11, 2025
- Last Trade
- Nov 8, 2026
billsobrien is a Kalshi trader with 517 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 57 wins and 409 losses on settled markets, -$8.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Cleveland,yes Miami,yes Shedeur Sanders: 2+,yes Caleb Douglas: 1+ on Nov 8.
- Win rate
- 12%
- Return on settled
- -47%
- Money traded
- $25.7K
- Typical trade
- $28.56
- Avg entry
- 4¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,542
Profit over time
+$0.00-$8.9K
Oct 11Nov 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3777%3%-4 pts
20 to 40¢10529%34%+6 pts
40 to 60¢2545%71%+25 pts
60 to 80¢870%50%-20 pts
Over 80¢291%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $191306%-$1.5K
$19 to $2912920%-$911.47
$29 to $471297%-$2.8K
$47 to $1.1K12917%-$3.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
College football15522%-$1.2K
Parlays2136%-$5.1K
NFL7125%-$572.55
College basketball2112%-$83.86
Golf400%-$1.2K
NBA130%-$556.12
Side taken
Yes 100%0% No
If you had copied billsobrien
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$3,914.10
Profit
on $11,000.00 staked
8-102
Record
7% win rate
-36%
Return
+$0.00-$5.9K
Sep 14Nov 2
-$8.6K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.62×
Profit factor
$6.3K won vs $10.2K lost
-3.0 pts
Edge vs implied
7% won at 10¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 44
- Deepest drawdown
- 108 trades
By category
sports110 settled-36%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Cleveland,yes Miami,yes Shedeur Sanders: 2+,yes Caleb Douglas: 1+
Nov 8, 2 fills
yes Cincinnati,yes New York G,yes Mike Gesicki: 1+,yes Malik Nabers: 1+
Nov 8, 2 fills
yes Cleveland,yes Miami
Nov 8, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.8KCalifornia at Louisville Winner?$817.54 on Yes at 32¢, Nov 9
- 2+$826.63Kentucky at Auburn Winner?$227.37 on Yes at 22¢, Nov 1
- 3+$632.80yes Iowa,yes UConn,yes Iowa St.$46.17 on Yes at 7¢, Mar 22
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
California at Louisville Winner?32¢18100%+$1.8K
Notre Dame at Boston College Winner?5¢60%-$586.80
Stanford at North Carolina Winner?26¢70%-$835.13
Oregon at Iowa Winner?20¢60%-$435.24
Kentucky at Auburn Winner?22¢4100%+$826.63
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 11Nov 8
Profit by month
Oct 2025-$770.77
Nov 2025-$1.8K
Jan 2026-$832.32
Mar 2026+$686.66
Apr 2026-$1.5K
Jun 2026-$551.05
Sep 2026-$669.80
Oct 2026-$2.3K
Nov 2026-$1.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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