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Stats as of

bottom.pony3914

-$3.6K
Tracked Trades
73
First Seen
Jan 25, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 1, 2026

bottom.pony3914 is a Kalshi trader with 73 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 9 wins and 54 losses on settled markets, -$3.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Oregon St. wins by over 6.5 points on Nov 1.

Win rate
14%
Return on settled
-18%
Money traded
$23.0K
Typical trade
$189.25
Avg entry
18¢
Kalshi rank
#5,854

Profit over time

+$748.00-$7.6K
Jan 25Nov 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5110%7%-3 pts
20 to 40¢1331%18%-13 pts
40 to 60¢852%43%-9 pts
60 to 80¢165%100%+35 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$9 to $113196%+$46.68
$114 to $189186%-$1.6K
$190 to $3651815%-$1.7K
$378 to $2.1K1831%-$352.81

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays506%-$6.1K
College football750%+$653.75
NFL4100%+$2.9K
Baseball913%-$1.9K
MMA350%+$826.96

Side taken

Yes 88%12% No

If you had copied bottom.pony3914

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,819.09
Profit
on $3,400.00 staked
6-28
Record
18% win rate
-54%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time34 settled trades
+$0.00-$1.8K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.35×
Profit factor
$980.91 won vs $2.8K lost
-5.3 pts
Edge vs implied
18% won at 23¢ avg
Longest losing streak
18
Deepest drawdown
34 trades

By category

sports29 settled-52%
other5 settled-62%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $756.08

The markets bottom.pony3914 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what bottom.pony3914 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Oregon St. wins by over 6.5 points
Nov 1
Yes49¢$488.55-$488.55
Miami (FL) wins
Nov 1
Sold Nosold 1¢$10.17Exited
Miami (FL) wins
Nov 1
Yes65¢$658.85+$354.77
See every position across 60 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT25GBDET-DET5
    $2.1K on No at 53¢, Oct 25
    +$1.9K
  2. 2
    yes North Texas,no TCU wins by over 10.5 points,yes Ole Miss over 23.5 points
    $378.06 on Yes at 17¢, Oct 24
    +$1.8K
  3. 3
    Iowa wins
    $1.6K on Yes at 56¢, Oct 31
    +$1.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT25GBDET-DET553¢1100%+$1.9K
Iowa wins56¢2100%+$1.3K
Green Bay wins by over 3.5 points?51¢2100%+$975.37
Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner?47¢20%-$1.2K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026A12C28A3FA9-C2B5345727726¢10%-$950.26

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 4Nov 1

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$189.25
Jun 2026+$57.64
Jul 2026-$821.11
Aug 2026-$2.8K
Sep 2026-$1.9K
Oct 2026+$2.2K
Nov 2026-$133.78

Kalshi leaderboards

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