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Stats as of
breaking.goals
-$687
- Tracked Trades
- 726
- First Seen
- Oct 18, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 4, 2026
- Best In NBA
- 70% won · 132 settled · +$530
breaking.goals is a Kalshi trader with 726 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 341 wins and 321 losses on settled markets, -$687 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Tucuman,yes Argentinos Juniors,yes Bucaramanga,yes San Francisco,yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes New Mexico United on Oct 4.
- Win rate
- 52%
- Return on settled
- -2%
- Money traded
- $37.6K
- Typical trade
- $24
- Avg entry
- 27¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,273
Profit over time
+$1.5K-$1.2K
Oct 18Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢809%3%-6 pts
20 to 40¢11130%28%-2 pts
40 to 60¢20651%44%-7 pts
60 to 80¢22469%74%+5 pts
Over 80¢10586%89%+2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1418248%+$5
$14 to $2418255%-$354
$24 to $4918142%-$1.9K
$49 to $1.4K18162%+$1.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays25631%-$1.2K
NBA13770%+$530
College football8783%+$277
NFL3969%+$212
Tennis3969%+$94
College basketball2273%-$45
Side taken
Yes 88%12% No
If you had copied breaking.goals
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$5687
Profit
on $14600 staked
36-110
Record
25% win rate
-39%
Return
+$0-$5.7K
Jul 27Sep 28
-$5.8K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.48×
Profit factor
$5.3K won vs $11.0K lost
-8.1 pts
Edge vs implied
25% won at 33¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 17
- Deepest drawdown
- 145 trades
By category
sports112 settled-34%
crypto31 settled-79%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Tucuman,yes Argentinos Juniors,yes Bucaramanga,yes San Francisco,yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes New Mexico United
Oct 4
yes Trinidad and Tobago,no Over 2.5 goals scored,yes San Diego,yes San Francisco,yes Detroit,yes Seattle
Oct 4
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S202607073D35F0D-3157B2FF33C
Oct 4
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.7Kyes Pittsburgh,yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Minnesota,yes Detroit,yes New York J,yes Philadelphia,no Over 57.5 points scored$235 on Yes at 12¢, Sep 13
- 2+$520yes Washington,yes Chicago C,yes Yordan Alvarez: 1+,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Belgium advances,yes USA advances,yes Colombia advances,yes Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored$190 on Yes at 27¢, Jul 1
- 3+$338yes Tampa Bay,yes Houston,yes St. Louis,yes USC,yes Michigan St.,yes Stetson$95 on Yes at 22¢, Sep 5
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S202607073D35F0D-3157B2FF33C1+$0
yes Texas,yes Arizona wins by over 9.5 runs,no Over 13.5 runs scored,no Over 9.5 runs scored48¢20%-$386
yes Cincinnati,yes Pittsburgh,yes Cleveland,yes Boston,yes New York M,yes Chicago WS,yes Texas,yes Seattle,yes Washington35¢20%-$239
yes Blake Snell: 7+,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Marist,yes USC,yes Purdue,yes Miami (FL),yes Georgia St.,yes Eastern Michigan,yes Michigan St.,yes Nebraska,yes Houston12¢20%-$93
yes Milwaukee,yes Miami,yes Atlanta,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 1.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 1.5 runs scored,yes Over 1.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored14¢20%-$94
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 7Oct 4
Profit by month
Oct 2025+$166
Nov 2025+$645
Dec 2025-$809
Mar 2026-$4
Apr 2026-$19
May 2026-$11
Jun 2026-$404
Jul 2026-$369
Aug 2026-$228
Sep 2026+$1.3K
Oct 2026-$924
Kalshi leaderboards
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