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Stats as of

brief.crash

+$37
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Oct 16, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 21, 2026

brief.crash is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 11 wins and 23 losses on settled markets, $37 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the President's approval rating be between 38.1 and 38.3 according to RealClearPolitics? on Oct 21.

Win rate
32%
Return on settled
+17%
Money traded
$2.3K
Typical trade
$1
Avg entry
53¢
Kalshi rank
#4,749

Profit over time

+$37-$4
Oct 16Oct 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢33712%0%-12 pts
20 to 40¢32029%43%+14 pts
40 to 60¢19950%33%-16 pts
60 to 80¢13668%100%+32 pts
Over 80¢884%100%+16 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $025014%+$0
$0 to $125017%-$2
$1 to $125067%+$0
$1 to $11925050%+$39

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Mentions95127%-$3
Economic data11+$0
Weather5+$0
World politics3100%+$29
Entertainment8+$0
Tech and AI5100%+$39

Side taken

Yes 99%1% No

If you had copied brief.crash

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$972
Profit
on $3400 staked
11-23
Record
32% win rate
-29%
Return
25 still open
Profit over time34 settled trades
+$0-$972
Oct 12Oct 19
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.58×
Profit factor
$1.3K won vs $2.3K lost
+0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
32% won at 32¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
32 trades

By category

culture28 settled-22%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $53

The markets brief.crash is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what brief.crash is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the President's approval rating be between 38.1 and 38.3 according to RealClearPolitics?
Oct 21, 6 fills
Yes7¢sold 13¢$11Exited
Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?
Oct 21, 3 fills
Yes19¢sold 17¢$29Exited
Will Democrats win all 10 House seats bordering Mexico in 2026?
Oct 20, 3 fills
Yes54¢sold 18¢$54Exited
See every position across 175 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Pennsylvania have at least 195 data centers listed in 2026?
    $61 on Yes at 61¢, Oct 20
    +$39
  2. 2
    Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
    $121 on Yes at 81¢, Oct 18
    +$29
  3. 3
    Will Trump say "Bibi / Netanyahu" before Oct 19, 2026?
    $1 on Yes at 45¢, Oct 16
    +$2
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?19¢5+$0
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?81¢3100%+$29
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 16, 2026?32¢1900%-$3
Wildwood Rotten Tomatoes score?79¢8+$0
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?88¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 24Oct 21

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$37

Kalshi leaderboards

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