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Stats as of
bsmitty86
-$298.25
- Tracked Trades
- 1,110
- First Seen
- Jan 17, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 3% won · 823 settled · +$401.42
bsmitty86 is a Kalshi trader with 1,110 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 59 wins and 910 losses on settled markets, -$298.25 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026INGCR45GBX2J5D4U-MUQTG7NFR on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 6%
- Return on settled
- -2%
- Money traded
- $48.3K
- Typical trade
- $9.38
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,534
Profit over time
+$1.3K-$4.0K
Jan 17Oct 31
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢8884%3%-1 pts
20 to 40¢8329%26%-4 pts
40 to 60¢4849%37%-12 pts
60 to 80¢3270%67%-3 pts
Over 80¢5993%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $92786%+$957.52
$9 to $92783%+$47.71
$9 to $192773%-$2.2K
$19 to $2.4K27716%+$881.14
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays8973%+$401.42
Tennis17823%-$578.31
Golf50%-$71.44
College basketball1225%-$41.64
NBA725%-$48.71
Basketball2100%+$95.55
Side taken
Yes 88%12% No
If you had copied bsmitty86
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$36,740.82
Profit
on $45,000.00 staked
22-428
Record
5% win rate
+82%
Return
+$48.9K-$2.7K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$13.7K
Max drawdown
27% below peak
2.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.86×
Profit factor
$79.5K won vs $42.8K lost
+0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
5% won at 5¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 75
- Deepest drawdown
- 166 trades
By category
other292 settled+170%
sports158 settled-82%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026INGCR45GBX2J5D4U-MUQTG7NFR
Oct 31
yes San Antonio,yes Miami (FL),yes Indiana,yes Oklahoma St.,yes Grambling St.,yes Oregon St.,yes Boise St.,no Florida St. wins by over 9.5 points,no Missouri wins by over 17.5 points,yes UNLV wins by over 9.5 points,no Ohio St. wins by over 13.5 points,no Nebraska wins by over 17.5 points,yes Dallas,yes Colorado
Oct 31
yes BYU,yes Indiana,yes Oklahoma St.,yes Penn St.,yes South Carolina,yes Alabama A&M,yes Tennessee Tech,yes North Alabama,yes San Diego St.,no Florida St. wins by over 11.5 points,yes Miami (FL) wins by over 3.5 points,no Missouri wins by over 17.5 points,no Texas wins by over 27.5 points,yes Oregon wins by over 2.5 points,no Ohio St. wins by over 13.5 points,no Boise St. wins by over 17.5 points
Oct 31
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.2Kyes Baylor,yes Virginia,yes Texas St.,yes Georgia,yes Texas,yes LSU,yes UCLA,yes Utah,yes Virginia Tech,no Indiana wins by over 30.5 points,yes Ohio St. wins by over 21.5 points,no Eastern Michigan wins by over 26.5 points,no Texas Tech wins by over 35.5 points,yes Over 45.5 points scored$21.45 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 24
- 2+$1.7Kyes Ben Shelton,yes Karen Khachanov,yes Los Angeles A,yes New York Y,yes Tampa Bay,yes Arizona,yes Milwaukee,yes Toronto,yes Jessica Pegula,yes Elena Rybakina$9.24 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 8
- 3+$1.1Kyes Baltimore,yes Pittsburgh,yes Cleveland,yes Tampa Bay,yes Cincinnati,yes Chicago WS,yes New York M,yes Arizona$4.67 on Yes at 0¢, Sep 22
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Arizona,yes Boise St.,yes North Texas,yes James Madison,yes Utah,yes LSU,yes Ole Miss,yes Nevada,yes East Carolina,yes Virginia,yes Texas,yes Missouri,yes Memphis,yes Georgia,yes Louisiana Tech,yes Virginia Tech,no Duke wins by over 13.5 points,yes Ohio St. wins by over 24.5 points,no Notre Dame wins by over 45.5 points,no Oregon wins by over 14.5 points0¢20%-$9.17
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026E767D4814ED-B7100151B381+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CECC1FA0F59-09F98561DB31+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026INGCR45GBX2J5D4U-MUQTG7NFR1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S20267BD57CD60D0-2CF5DE47C331+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$364.41
Feb 2026-$242.15
Mar 2026-$13.98
Apr 2026-$245.54
May 2026-$1.2K
Jun 2026-$1.3K
Jul 2026-$338.14
Aug 2026-$60.20
Sep 2026+$4.9K
Oct 2026-$1.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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