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Stats as of
Capellan18
capellan18
+$2.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 806
- First Seen
- Aug 18, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 30, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 2% won · 276 settled · +$2.6K
Capellan18 is a Kalshi trader with 806 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 124 wins and 609 losses on settled markets, $2.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026D44EDLRKIVCLND5P-R6Z7NSWBX on Oct 30.
- Win rate
- 17%
- Return on settled
- +46%
- Money traded
- $15.0K
- Typical trade
- $4.84
- Avg entry
- 0¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,673
Profit over time
+$3.3K-$394.00
Aug 18Oct 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4414%3%-1 pts
20 to 40¢19130%24%-6 pts
40 to 60¢13648%44%-4 pts
60 to 80¢2568%74%+6 pts
Over 80¢1393%67%-27 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $220222%-$9.89
$2 to $520222%-$315.05
$5 to $92018%+$3.0K
$9 to $5.9K20115%-$399.98
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays2832%+$2.6K
Commodities33430%-$192.98
Bitcoin16420%-$58.73
Tennis1515%-$28.08
Golf450%+$3.56
NBA30%-$33.91
Side taken
Yes 69%31% No
If you had copied Capellan18
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$39,249.50
Profit
on $41,900.00 staked
46-373
Record
11% win rate
+94%
Return
+$46.7K-$2.6K
Aug 17Oct 26
-$12.1K
Max drawdown
24% below peak
3.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.05×
Profit factor
$76.5K won vs $37.3K lost
-0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
11% won at 12¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 86
- Deepest drawdown
- 124 trades
By category
crypto53 settled+229%
sports283 settled+102%
finance83 settled-21%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026D44EDLRKIVCLND5P-R6Z7NSWBX
Oct 30
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 30
yes Vegas,yes Calgary,yes Florida,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Edmonton,yes San Jose,yes St. Louis,yes Tampa Bay
Oct 30
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.0Kyes Arizona,yes Seattle,yes New York M,yes San Francisco,yes Toronto,yes Detroit,yes Miami,yes Milwaukee$9.09 on Yes at 0¢, Sep 2
- 2+$1.3Kyes Japan,yes Uruguay,yes Palestine,yes France,yes Bosnia and Herzegovina,yes Sweden$9.24 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 28
- 3+$610.48yes Tampa Bay,no Parker Messick: 5+,yes Freddy Peralta: 4+,yes Orlando,yes Golden State,yes Portland$11.19 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 13
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 2+,yes Jalen Brunson: 3+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 2+,yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 6+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 1+,yes Philadelphia,yes Jaylen Brown: 20+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 12+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 12+0¢20%-$18.24
Gold price up in next 15 mins?14¢33330%-$191.06
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026D44EDLRKIVCLND5P-R6Z7NSWBX1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S202628308C1477A-F6658A746591+$0.00
BTC price up in next 15 mins?13¢13521%-$110.31
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 2Oct 30
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$422.14
Sep 2026+$3.4K
Oct 2026-$729.10
Kalshi leaderboards
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