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Stats as of

capybaras

+$413.67
Tracked Trades
75
First Seen
Dec 2, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 27, 2026
Best In Entertainment
73% won · 30 settled · +$335.52

capybaras is a Kalshi trader with 75 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 24 wins and 10 losses on settled markets, $413.67 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXDUOLINGO-2026-R1B-ENG on Oct 27.

Win rate
71%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$19.8K
Typical trade
$14.17
Avg entry
88¢
Kalshi rank
#4,320

Profit over time

+$414.00-$68.00
Apr 22Oct 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢443%0%-3 pts
20 to 40¢328%0%-28 pts
60 to 80¢671%100%+29 pts
Over 80¢2293%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2190%-$3.91
$2 to $141944%-$12.88
$14 to $12319100%+$98.58
$146 to $5.2K1893%+$331.88

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Entertainment4673%+$335.52
US elections2750%+$78.15
US politics2+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 55%45% No

If you had copied capybaras

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$50.52
Profit
on $1,000.00 staked
9-1
Record
90% win rate
+5%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time10 settled trades
+$50.52+$0.00
Aug 24Oct 26

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 10 so far.

By category

culture10 settled+5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $4.0K

The markets capybaras is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what capybaras is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will KATSEYE perform Animal at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?
Oct 19, 3 fills
Yes97¢$398.19+$13.30
Will Troye Sivan perform at either of Charli XCX’s headlining performances at the 2026 Austin City Limits Music Festival?
Oct 3, 5 fills
Yes71¢sold 96¢$382.92+$157.04
Will Candice Swanepoel be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?
Sep 29, 3 fills
Yes94¢$191.73+$12.27
See every position across 17 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Troye Sivan perform at either of Charli XCX’s headlining performances at the 2026 Austin City Limits Music Festival?
    $382.92 on Yes at 71¢, Oct 3
    +$157.04
  2. 2
    Will Nene Royal win America's Got Talent Season 21?
    $2.2K on Yes at 94¢, Sep 23
    +$145.59
  3. 3
    Will Hundred Fingers be eliminated from America's Got Talent Season 21 before Sep 19, 2026?
    $328.01 on No at 81¢, Aug 27
    +$77.62
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?90¢1933%+$66.45
KXDUOLINGO-2026-R1B-ENG80¢2+$0.00
Will Virginia redistricting referendum in Virginia pass?100¢8100%+$11.70
Will Nene Royal win America's Got Talent Season 21?94¢5100%+$145.59
Will Geno Ploeger win America's Got Talent Season 21?97¢2100%+$33.49

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 30Oct 27

Profit by month

Apr 2026+$11.70
Jun 2026+$66.45
Jul 2026-$145.66
Aug 2026+$77.62
Sep 2026+$233.22
Oct 2026+$170.34

Kalshi leaderboards

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