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Stats as of

car.ash

+$50.03
Tracked Trades
934
First Seen
Jul 8, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026
Best In Stocks and indices
34% won · 132 settled · +$240.57

car.ash is a Kalshi trader with 934 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 94 wins and 218 losses on settled markets, $50.03 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 3 percentage points? on Oct 22.

Win rate
30%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$10.8K
Typical trade
$4.90
Avg entry
17¢
Kalshi rank
#3,486

Profit over time

+$193.00-$232.00
Jul 8Oct 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢13612%12%+0 pts
20 to 40¢16229%22%-7 pts
40 to 60¢24150%44%-6 pts
60 to 80¢26670%72%+2 pts
Over 80¢12987%90%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $223424%-$50.82
$2 to $523433%-$8.15
$5 to $1323331%+$68.82
$13 to $49123341%+$40.18

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Stocks and indices62334%+$240.57
US elections320%-$56.25
NFL12439%-$8.74
NBA3556%+$60.57
Mentions3431%-$67.10
Baseball1450%+$21.10

Side taken

Yes 63%37% No

If you had copied car.ash

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$853.74
Profit
on $10,800.00 staked
39-69
Record
36% win rate
+8%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time108 settled trades
+$853.74-$442.98
Sep 7Oct 19
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
149% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.12×
Profit factor
$7.8K won vs $6.9K lost
+2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
36% won at 33¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
30 trades

By category

finance43 settled+21%
sports61 settled+5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $4.40

The markets car.ash is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what car.ash is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 3 percentage points?
Oct 22, 6 fills
Sold Yessold 49¢$58.80Exited
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 1 percentage points?
Oct 22, 3 fills
Sold Nosold 36¢$18.91Exited
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 1 percentage points?
Oct 21, 2 fills
Sold Yessold 68¢$35.66Exited
See every position across 334 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Aug 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
    $250.00 on Yes at 50¢, Aug 7
    +$250.00
  2. 2
    Baltimore wins
    $16.90 on Yes at 12¢, Oct 12
    +$123.10
  3. 3
    Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Aug 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
    $14.00 on Yes at 14¢, Aug 3
    +$86.00
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Haley Stevens be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan?2¢100%-$35.40
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Aug 4, 2026 at 4pm EDT?31¢12100%+$49.41
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Aug 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?50¢1100%+$250.00
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Aug 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT?8+$0.00
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Aug 4, 2026 at 4pm EDT?64¢12100%+$3.60

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$183.08
Aug 2026+$199.58
Sep 2026-$49.28
Oct 2026+$82.81

Kalshi leaderboards

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