Stats as of
certain.raven5001
-$26.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,337
- First Seen
- Apr 28, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 1, 2026
- Best In Tennis
- 64% won · 149 settled · +$7.2K
certain.raven5001 is a Kalshi trader with 1,337 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 423 wins and 651 losses on settled markets, -$26.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Stefan Kozlov wins on Oct 1.
- Win rate
- 39%
- Return on settled
- -8%
- Money traded
- $400.7K
- Typical trade
- $45
- Avg entry
- 44¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,669
Profit over time
+$873-$42.8K
Apr 29Oct 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢888%64%+56 pts
20 to 40¢40033%29%-4 pts
40 to 60¢56448%42%-7 pts
60 to 80¢23767%48%-19 pts
Over 80¢4889%60%-29 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $933538%-$227
$9 to $4533437%-$1.2K
$45 to $31133438%+$502
$321 to $5.5K33444%-$25.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer100536%-$26.3K
Tennis24364%+$7.2K
Parlays8927%-$7.4K
Side taken
Yes 90%10% No
If you had copied certain.raven5001
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$7429
Profit
on $26700 staked
136-131
Record
51% win rate
+28%
Return
+$8.5K+$0
Sep 14Sep 28
-$5.7K
Max drawdown
56% below peak
1.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.57×
Profit factor
$20.5K won vs $13.1K lost
+4.9 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 46¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 57
- Deepest drawdown
- 57 trades
By category
other96 settled+100%
culture42 settled-10%
sports129 settled-14%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Stefan Kozlov wins
Oct 1
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026497D588104D-5BFFE947293
Oct 1
KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26OCT01BALBUD-BUD
Oct 1
Biggest wins
- 1+$6.8KManchester United vs Liverpool Winner?$4.7K on Yes at 41¢, May 3
- 2+$6.7KCrystal Palace vs Everton Winner?$3.8K on Yes at 36¢, May 10
- 3+$6.1KJuan Pablo Varillas wins$943 on Yes at 13¢, Sep 23
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Liudmila Samsonova wins52¢80%-$6.2K
Arthur Rinderknech wins58¢50%-$6.0K
Gustavo Heide wins56¢9100%+$3.5K
yes Bayern Munich,yes Tie26¢20%-$1.4K
Moez Echargui wins2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 4Oct 1
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$4.1K
May 2026-$32.2K
Sep 2026+$13.1K
Oct 2026-$3.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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