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Stats as of

chance33

-$1.7K
Tracked Trades
84
First Seen
Jan 12, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 27, 2026

chance33 is a Kalshi trader with 84 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 20 wins and 37 losses on settled markets, -$1.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Utah wins on Oct 27.

Win rate
35%
Return on settled
-65%
Money traded
$4.4K
Typical trade
$12.19
Avg entry
41¢
Kalshi rank
#5,949

Profit over time

+$59.00-$1.7K
Jan 12Oct 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1312%0%-12 pts
20 to 40¢2130%6%-24 pts
40 to 60¢2349%19%-30 pts
60 to 80¢1670%73%+3 pts
Over 80¢1189%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5218%-$35.78
$5 to $122114%-$94.51
$12 to $312173%+$11.05
$33 to $1.2K2140%-$1.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NBA4427%-$1.6K
Tennis2438%-$21.29
Soccer3100%+$12.10
Basketball3100%+$3.60
Baseball2100%+$21.06
Mentions40%-$27.23

Side taken

Yes 64%36% No

If you had copied chance33

$100 per bet, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

2 of 5 needed have resolved. 6 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Utah wins
Oct 27, 6 fills
Yes36¢$1.6K-$1.6K
Utah wins
Oct 27
Sold Nosold 68¢$1.2KExited
Utah wins
Oct 25, 2 fills
Yes28¢$56.91-$56.91
See every position across 33 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Toronto at Los Angeles L Winner?
    $87.60 on Yes at 55¢, Jan 19
    +$72.40
  2. 2
    Oklahoma City at Cleveland Winner?
    $148.00 on Yes at 74¢, Jan 19
    +$52.00
  3. 3
    Game 6: Detroit at Cleveland Winner?
    $19.13 on Yes at 35¢, May 15
    +$35.53
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Utah wins35¢90%-$1.6K
Oklahoma City at Cleveland Winner?74¢3100%+$52.00
Los Angeles C at Washington Winner?43¢50%-$93.65
Charlotte at Denver Winner?79¢2100%+$30.55
Utah at San Antonio Winner?12¢20%-$12.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 30Oct 27

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$46.48
May 2026+$24.35
Oct 2026-$1.6K

Kalshi leaderboards

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