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Stats as of

chilly.alligator1041

+$850.44
Tracked Trades
359
First Seen
Mar 19, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 21, 2026
Best In Parlays
13% won · 168 settled · +$1.1K

chilly.alligator1041 is a Kalshi trader with 359 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 55 wins and 248 losses on settled markets, $850.44 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FFVAEVEOGAHJR22X-ATMXJOFV3 on Oct 21.

Win rate
18%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$30.1K
Typical trade
$18.80
Avg entry
13¢
Kalshi rank
#3,858

Profit over time

+$1.0K-$3.0K
Mar 19Oct 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2028%7%-1 pts
20 to 40¢9730%30%+0 pts
40 to 60¢3648%50%+2 pts
60 to 80¢872%0%-72 pts
Over 80¢1691%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $9905%-$67.54
$9 to $199017%-$484.95
$19 to $949019%-$272.74
$94 to $2.5K8933%+$1.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays19313%+$1.1K
NFL9221%-$654.31
Baseball2044%+$873.90
College football2727%-$166.77
Soccer720%-$120.20
Hockey250%-$24.44

Side taken

Yes 83%17% No

If you had copied chilly.alligator1041

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$3,411.74
Profit
on $25,900.00 staked
46-213
Record
18% win rate
-13%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time259 settled trades
+$2.4K-$5.0K
Aug 3Oct 12
-$8.5K
Max drawdown
276% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.84×
Profit factor
$17.9K won vs $21.3K lost
-0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
18% won at 19¢ avg
Longest losing streak
36
Deepest drawdown
181 trades

By category

sports252 settled-13%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $94.93

The markets chilly.alligator1041 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what chilly.alligator1041 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FFVAEVEOGAHJR22X-ATMXJOFV3
Oct 21
Sold Nosold 89¢$954.10Exited
Javonte Williams: 1st Touchdown
Oct 18
Yes17¢$56.14-$56.14
yes Puka Nacua: 60+,yes Brock Bowers: 50+
Oct 18
Sold Nosold 1¢$4.74Exited
See every position across 290 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026TW4EVOJWCVE7P3KK-BG2LN6EZX
    $656.25 on Yes at 30¢, Oct 18
    +$1.6K
  2. 2
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 100+ receiving yards
    $1.2K on Yes at 45¢, Oct 16
    +$1.5K
  3. 3
    yes Buffalo,yes Khalil Shakir: 40+,yes Josh Allen: 1+
    $188.65 on Yes at 14¢, Oct 12
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Rome Odunze: 25+,yes Harold Fannin Jr.: 25+,yes Carnell Tate: 25+,yes Tre Tucker: 25+,yes Devaughn Vele: 25+11¢30%-$284.30
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 100+ receiving yards45¢5100%+$1.5K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026OY7P7L7UKI3DQ23P-PYR2X3XVV1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20260414EE6E7D2-C505162CBD01+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20266609166C864-AD51A91BCEB1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 24Oct 21

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$54.41
May 2026-$9.63
Jun 2026-$32.86
Jul 2026-$12.28
Aug 2026+$290.45
Sep 2026-$573.89
Oct 2026+$1.2K

Kalshi leaderboards

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