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Stats as of

claim.heat2618

-$315
Tracked Trades
469
First Seen
Feb 3, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026
Best In Ethereum
100% won · 63 settled · +$461

claim.heat2618 is a Kalshi trader with 469 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 244 wins and 66 losses on settled markets, -$315 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin price on Oct 21, 2026? on Oct 22.

Win rate
79%
Return on settled
-1%
Money traded
$54.3K
Typical trade
$13
Avg entry
67¢
Kalshi rank
#5,082

Profit over time

+$2.6K-$709
Feb 3Oct 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1026%17%+12 pts
20 to 40¢4829%32%+4 pts
40 to 60¢7147%61%+14 pts
60 to 80¢6371%91%+20 pts
Over 80¢18592%98%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $311882%+$19
$3 to $1311770%+$31
$13 to $8011777%+$565
$80 to $2.5K11788%-$931

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin15885%+$384
Tennis7498%-$1.0K
Ethereum90100%+$461
Parlays5128%-$580
Soccer2568%-$87
College basketball1280%+$370

Side taken

Yes 62%38% No

If you had copied claim.heat2618

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$4103
Profit
on $24600 staked
217-29
Record
88% win rate
+17%
Return
Profit over time246 settled trades
+$4.1K-$182
Sep 14Oct 19
-$617
Max drawdown
47% below peak
6.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.41×
Profit factor
$7.0K won vs $2.9K lost
+11.2 pts
Edge vs implied
88% won at 77¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
15 trades

By category

crypto148 settled+27%
sports94 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Bitcoin price on Oct 21, 2026?
Oct 22
Yes86¢$606-$606
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 19, 2 fills
No92¢$4.1K+$349
ETH price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 19, 19 fills
Sold Yessold 21¢$555Exited
See every position across 115 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Bitcoin price on Oct 19, 2026?
    $1.1K on Yes at 40¢, Oct 19
    +$1.7K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.8K on Yes at 75¢, Oct 19
    +$590
  3. 3
    Bitcoin price on Oct 19, 2026?
    $1.2K on Yes at 69¢, Oct 19
    +$511
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?76¢9480%-$1.7K
Bitcoin price on Oct 19, 2026?62¢37100%+$2.3K
ETH price up in next 15 mins?90¢90100%+$461
Elise Mertens wins94¢30%-$1.8K
Arjun Rathi wins98¢8100%+$53

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Feb 2026+$65
Apr 2026+$119
May 2026+$86
Jun 2026+$129
Jul 2026-$963
Sep 2026+$14
Oct 2026+$234

Kalshi leaderboards

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