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Stats as of
claim.sir
+$735
- Tracked Trades
- 220
- First Seen
- Feb 24, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 17, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 14% won · 57 settled · +$794
claim.sir is a Kalshi trader with 220 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 56 wins and 159 losses on settled markets, $735 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C661D2D74FD-C7280418EAE on Oct 17.
- Win rate
- 26%
- Return on settled
- +8%
- Money traded
- $16.5K
- Typical trade
- $19
- Avg entry
- 15¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,685
Profit over time
+$2.9K-$1.2K
Feb 24Oct 17
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢938%7%-2 pts
20 to 40¢5030%34%+4 pts
40 to 60¢5950%41%-9 pts
60 to 80¢1666%57%-9 pts
Over 80¢294%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $95513%-$196
$9 to $195513%-$79
$19 to $445538%-$12
$47 to $6.4K5540%+$1.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays6014%+$794
Soccer5039%-$2
Baseball3429%+$123
Golf2010%-$118
Basketball829%+$355
College basketball2438%-$120
Side taken
Yes 94%6% No
If you had copied claim.sir
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$3509
Profit
on $3200 staked
13-19
Record
41% win rate
+110%
Return
+$3.9K-$820
Jul 27Oct 12
-$820
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
4.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.85×
Profit factor
$5.4K won vs $1.9K lost
+16.6 pts
Edge vs implied
41% won at 24¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 12 trades
By category
sports32 settled+110%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C661D2D74FD-C7280418EAE
Oct 17
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C661D2D74FD-C7280418EAE
Oct 17
yes Tampa Bay,yes Wisconsin,yes Oregon,no Notre Dame wins by over 17.5 points
Oct 17
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.2Kyes Jackson Merrill: 2+,yes Manny Machado: 2+,yes Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+$187 on Yes at 6¢, Sep 29
- 2+$459Will Michigan win the College Basketball National Championship?$113 on Yes at 20¢, Mar 27
- 3+$438Will Tom Kim win the Genesis Scottish Open?$47 on Yes at 10¢, Jul 10
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C661D2D74FD-C7280418EAE23¢20%-$1.9K
yes Spencer Torkelson: 1+,yes Ben Rice: 1+,yes Juan Soto: 1+1¢20%-$9
Will Michigan win the College Basketball National Championship?20¢3100%+$459
Will Scottie Scheffler win the Travelers Championship?59¢10%-$243
Will Max Holloway win the Holloway vs Oliveira professional MMA fight scheduled for Mar 7, 2026?65¢30%-$213
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 20Oct 17
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$125
Mar 2026-$101
Apr 2026-$164
May 2026-$331
Jun 2026-$15
Jul 2026-$301
Aug 2026-$129
Sep 2026+$4.1K
Oct 2026-$2.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
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