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Stats as of
clumsy.slug8457
+$226.58
- Tracked Trades
- 746
- First Seen
- Aug 22, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 18, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 3% won · 206 settled · +$365.36
clumsy.slug8457 is a Kalshi trader with 746 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 139 wins and 436 losses on settled markets, $226.58 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026E7VUVSFZABSHQAHD-5H47BZ4XO on Oct 18.
- Win rate
- 24%
- Return on settled
- +8%
- Money traded
- $11.3K
- Typical trade
- $3.77
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,577
Profit over time
+$227.00-$1.2K
Aug 22Oct 18
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3046%4%-2 pts
20 to 40¢17829%26%-4 pts
40 to 60¢16249%55%+6 pts
60 to 80¢5868%58%-11 pts
Over 80¢4491%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $118723%-$18.35
$1 to $418740%-$11.02
$4 to $618623%+$852.02
$6 to $1.1K18610%-$596.07
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays2273%+$365.36
Bitcoin48237%-$5.00
Soccer3014%-$158.84
Tennis2100%+$24.75
Other crypto433%+$1.24
Ethereum10%-$0.93
Side taken
Yes 62%38% No
If you had copied clumsy.slug8457
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$11,901.34
Profit
on $38,800.00 staked
79-309
Record
20% win rate
+31%
Return
+$11.9K-$13.2K
Aug 17Oct 12
-$19.8K
Max drawdown
496% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.39×
Profit factor
$42.8K won vs $30.9K lost
-1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
20% won at 22¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 44
- Deepest drawdown
- 339 trades
By category
sports228 settled+49%
crypto160 settled+4%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026E7VUVSFZABSHQAHD-5H47BZ4XO
Oct 18
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Porto,yes Fenerbahce,yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes Napoli,yes Roma,yes Dortmund,yes Atletico,yes Aston Villa,yes Club Brugge,yes Inter,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid,yes Sporting CP
Oct 18
yes Leverkusen,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Brighton,yes Arsenal,yes Real Sociedad,yes Real Madrid,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Monterrey,yes Marseille,yes Celtic,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score
Oct 18
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.2Kyes Leverkusen,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Brighton,yes Arsenal,yes Real Sociedad,yes Real Madrid,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Monterrey,yes Marseille,yes Celtic,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score$4.65 on Yes at 0¢, Oct 18
- 2+$273.98yes Bayern Munich,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Manchester City,yes Feyenoord,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid,yes PSG,yes Inter,yes Roma$9.35 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 17
- 3+$145.43no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,yes Kansas City$57.12 on Yes at 28¢, Sep 14
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?28¢47637%-$3.35
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026E7VUVSFZABSHQAHD-5H47BZ4XO1+$0.00
yes River Plate,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Monaco,yes Lille,yes PSG,yes Nashville,yes Miami,yes Inter,yes Napoli1¢20%-$9.27
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026A07A49AFD2B-44270B9E7341+$0.00
yes Arsenal,yes Barcelona,yes Bayern Munich,yes Liverpool,yes Stuttgart,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored1¢20%-$9.35
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 21Oct 18
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$128.19
Sep 2026-$672.79
Oct 2026+$1.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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