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Stats as of

commercial.ape4482

+$1.0K
Tracked Trades
111
First Seen
Jun 13, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 26, 2026
Best In Soccer
56% won · 43 settled · +$1.2K

commercial.ape4482 is a Kalshi trader with 111 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 38 wins and 47 losses on settled markets, $1.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Detroit,yes Oklahoma City,yes Memphis,yes Orlando,yes Minnesota,yes Seattle on Oct 26.

Win rate
45%
Return on settled
+24%
Money traded
$10.2K
Typical trade
$19.23
Avg entry
26¢
Kalshi rank
#3,794

Profit over time

+$1.6K-$177.00
Jun 13Oct 26

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢339%13%+4 pts
20 to 40¢2628%32%+3 pts
40 to 60¢2248%56%+7 pts
60 to 80¢1370%70%+0 pts
Over 80¢1794%92%-2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $52844%+$0.45
$7 to $192826%+$51.33
$19 to $652845%-$7.85
$69 to $2.7K2772%+$973.67

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays2614%-$315.05
Soccer5756%+$1.2K
MMA783%+$323.21
Boxing620%-$299.67
NBA2100%+$132.23
NFL30%-$12.23

Side taken

Yes 77%23% No

If you had copied commercial.ape4482

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$1,325.80
Profit
on $2,900.00 staked
14-15
Record
48% win rate
+46%
Return
Profit over time29 settled trades
+$1.3K-$484.88
Aug 10Oct 26
-$524.09
Max drawdown
1336% below peak
2.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.88×
Profit factor
$2.8K won vs $1.5K lost
+2.2 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 46¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
16 trades

By category

sports29 settled+46%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Detroit,yes Oklahoma City,yes Memphis,yes Orlando,yes Minnesota,yes Seattle
Oct 26
Yes26¢$60.84+$173.16
yes Detroit,yes Indiana,yes Oklahoma City,yes Los Angeles L,yes Memphis,yes New York,yes Minnesota,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R
Oct 26
Sold Nosold 95¢$1.3KExited
yes Detroit,yes Indiana,yes Oklahoma City,yes Los Angeles L,yes Memphis,yes New York,yes Minnesota,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R
Oct 25
Yes2¢$22.33-$22.33
See every position across 74 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Real Madrid wins
    $426.98 on Yes at 23¢, Oct 25
    +$1.4K
  2. 2
    England vs Argentina: To Advance
    $94.95 on Yes at 24¢, Jul 15
    +$300.68
  3. 3
    Alex Volkanovski wins
    $217.07 on Yes at 48¢, Oct 24
    +$236.23
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev,yes Jasmin Lucindo,yes Abusupiyan Magomedov,yes Azamat Murzakanov,yes Aaron Pico,yes Kody Steele,yes Asaf Chopurov,yes Abubakar Vagaev,yes Alex Volkanovski,yes Alexander Volkov,yes Petr Yan1¢20%-$18.63
Real Madrid wins23¢2100%+$1.4K
yes Detroit,yes Indiana,yes Oklahoma City,yes Los Angeles L,yes Memphis,yes New York,yes Minnesota,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R2¢20%-$22.33
Barcelona wins38¢467%-$619.72
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?18¢50%-$66.70

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 29Oct 26

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$40.91
Jul 2026+$101.98
Aug 2026+$9.20
Sep 2026-$310.99
Oct 2026+$1.2K

Kalshi leaderboards

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