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Stats as of
commercial.wolf4032
+$15
- Tracked Trades
- 142
- First Seen
- Oct 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 23, 2026
- Best In College football
- 94% won · 16 settled · +$522
commercial.wolf4032 is a Kalshi trader with 142 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 39 wins and 53 losses on settled markets, $15 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: no Over 243.5 points,yes Los Angeles,no Over 8.5 goals scored on Oct 23.
- Win rate
- 42%
- Return on settled
- +0%
- Money traded
- $14.3K
- Typical trade
- $38
- Avg entry
- 53¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,823
Profit over time
+$1.7K-$376
Oct 13Oct 23
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢308%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢2334%17%-17 pts
40 to 60¢4950%38%-12 pts
60 to 80¢3767%68%+1 pts
Over 80¢389%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $63628%+$11
$6 to $393647%-$26
$41 to $733540%-$589
$80 to $2.7K3552%+$620
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL4823%-$833
Parlays3931%+$239
College football33100%+$572
Hockey1457%-$30
NBA1100%+$50
Commodities750%+$18
Side taken
Yes 49%51% No
If you had copied commercial.wolf4032
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1878
Profit
on $9200 staked
39-53
Record
42% win rate
-20%
Return
+$0-$1.9K
Oct 12Oct 19
-$3.0K
Max drawdown
266% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.65×
Profit factor
$3.4K won vs $5.3K lost
-9.1 pts
Edge vs implied
42% won at 51¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 26
- Deepest drawdown
- 67 trades
By category
sports87 settled-26%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
no Over 243.5 points,yes Los Angeles,no Over 8.5 goals scored
Oct 23
yes James Madison,yes Liberty
Oct 23
Boston wins
Oct 23
Biggest wins
- 1+$599yes Houston,no Over 75.5 points$924 on Yes at 61¢, Oct 18
- 2+$580Houston wins$870 on Yes at 60¢, Oct 18
- 3+$551Tennessee wins$827 on Yes at 60¢, Oct 18
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Los Angeles R wins43¢70%-$1.4K
yes Houston,no Over 75.5 points61¢2100%+$599
Tennessee wins60¢7100%+$551
North Dakota wins66¢27100%+$428
Houston wins60¢2100%+$580
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 26Oct 23
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$15
Kalshi leaderboards
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