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Stats as of
comparable.treefrog1420
+$877.14
- Tracked Trades
- 326
- First Seen
- Mar 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 26, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 11% won · 149 settled · +$845.30
comparable.treefrog1420 is a Kalshi trader with 326 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 80 wins and 202 losses on settled markets, $877.14 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265CNEFC5MWD2FJRBA-MKPQQGDWN on Oct 26.
- Win rate
- 28%
- Return on settled
- +4%
- Money traded
- $38.6K
- Typical trade
- $48.11
- Avg entry
- 15¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,869
Profit over time
+$2.6K-$324.00
Mar 10Oct 18
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1567%9%+2 pts
20 to 40¢5930%38%+8 pts
40 to 60¢6849%54%+5 pts
60 to 80¢1969%69%-1 pts
Over 80¢2490%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $198213%+$315.69
$19 to $488216%-$577.71
$49 to $1028138%+$2.4K
$103 to $1.4K8154%-$1.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays17011%+$845.30
Baseball12044%-$76.56
Soccer3462%+$193.53
WNBA10%-$61.67
Tennis10%-$23.46
Side taken
Yes 83%17% No
If you had copied comparable.treefrog1420
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$767.31
Profit
on $11,700.00 staked
19-98
Record
16% win rate
+7%
Return
+$1.4K-$2.1K
Aug 3Oct 12
-$3.9K
Max drawdown
798% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.08×
Profit factor
$10.6K won vs $9.8K lost
+2.6 pts
Edge vs implied
16% won at 14¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 31
- Deepest drawdown
- 53 trades
By category
sports117 settled+7%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265CNEFC5MWD2FJRBA-MKPQQGDWN
Oct 26
Parlay: Novak Djokovic + Carlos Alcaraz + Daniil Medvedev + Rafael Jodar + Learner Tien + Jiri Lehecka + Alexander Zverev + Alexandra Eala + Leylah Fernandez + Elise Mertens
Oct 26
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C2ID2WAKMPVJL3T3-NVUNBBAKA
Oct 26
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.7Kyes Detroit,yes New York Y,yes Cincinnati,yes St. Louis,yes Colorado,yes Chicago WS,yes San Diego,yes Seattle,yes Toronto$90.84 on Yes at 5¢, Apr 19
- 2+$689.11yes Washington,yes Boston,yes Cleveland,yes Baltimore,yes Los Angeles D,yes Seattle$179.88 on Yes at 21¢, Apr 12
- 3+$633.35yes Philadelphia,yes Chicago WS,yes New York Y,yes San Diego$46.94 on Yes at 7¢, Sep 30
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Both Teams To Score,yes France28¢20%-$475.95
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026SXLI7RJAIM242LUP-XTD42PH4E1+$0.00
yes Belgium,yes Uruguay42¢20%-$430.43
Will both teams score?63¢575%+$558.20
Argentina vs Switzerland Winner?57¢10%-$970.78
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 29Oct 26
Profit by month
Mar 2026+$305.37
Apr 2026+$1.5K
May 2026-$913.73
Jun 2026-$308.25
Jul 2026-$438.79
Aug 2026+$680.69
Sep 2026-$60.02
Oct 2026+$145.21
Kalshi leaderboards
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