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Stats as of

complicated.stallion3763

+$3.7K
Tracked Trades
404
First Seen
Jul 1, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Parlays
27% won · 275 settled · +$4.2K

complicated.stallion3763 is a Kalshi trader with 404 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 77 wins and 215 losses on settled markets, $3.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DFQOX5KMPC7TFACK-4LS57XVTB on Nov 4.

Win rate
26%
Return on settled
+21%
Money traded
$24.5K
Typical trade
$30.01
Avg entry
9¢
Kalshi rank
#1,943

Profit over time

+$5.3K-$425.00
Jul 1Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2248%8%+0 pts
20 to 40¢9829%35%+6 pts
40 to 60¢7047%62%+15 pts
60 to 80¢869%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢493%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $141019%-$191.71
$14 to $3010113%+$653.28
$30 to $6010142%+$410.32
$61 to $2.4K10139%+$2.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays38127%+$4.2K
Soccer2019%-$490.53
NFL2+$0.00
US elections10%-$4.61

Side taken

Yes 100%0% No

If you had copied complicated.stallion3763

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$4,786.97
Profit
on $22,000.00 staked
59-161
Record
27% win rate
+22%
Return
Profit over time220 settled trades
+$6.4K-$467.44
Aug 17Nov 2
-$3.8K
Max drawdown
104% below peak
1.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.30×
Profit factor
$20.9K won vs $16.1K lost
+5.6 pts
Edge vs implied
27% won at 21¢ avg
Longest losing streak
37
Deepest drawdown
56 trades

By category

sports217 settled+22%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
no Real Betis,yes Porto,yes Manchester City,yes Como,yes Arsenal
Nov 4, 2 fills
Yes22¢sold 17¢$135.61+$475.25
no Real Betis,no Napoli,no Club Brugge,yes Manchester City,yes Como,yes Arsenal,yes Viking,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Nov 4, 2 fills
Yes5¢sold 7¢$255.00-$255.00
yes Manchester City,yes Arsenal,yes Viking,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Nov 4, 2 fills
Yes23¢sold 18¢$189.73+$638.79
See every position across 288 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Chelsea,yes Manchester United,yes Arsenal,yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes Atletico,yes Real Madrid,yes Barcelona
    $93.69 on Yes at 5¢, Aug 29
    +$1.8K
  2. 2
    yes Dortmund,yes Chelsea,yes Manchester United,yes Arsenal,yes Real Madrid,yes Barcelona,yes Juventus,yes Inter
    $93.87 on Yes at 7¢, Aug 29
    +$1.2K
  3. 3
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MU2WQ3VHE2DCWC4P-M3H4H32B3
    $962.58 on Yes at 45¢, Nov 2
    +$1.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CCBBQ6PG2APJ5L3G-7P7BZX2S242¢20%-$2.4K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MU2WQ3VHE2DCWC4P-M3H4H32B345¢1100%+$1.2K
yes Roma,no Sassuolo,no Torino,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored39¢2100%+$590.07
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VSGP6URDOBIWZXTB-I7GPTVVRY1+$0.00
yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Villarreal,yes PSG,yes Over 1.5 goals scored48¢20%-$235.34

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$325.65
Aug 2026+$2.4K
Sep 2026-$145.58
Oct 2026+$1.6K
Nov 2026-$519.64

Kalshi leaderboards

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