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Stats as of

conceptcar3

+$180.24
Tracked Trades
431
First Seen
Dec 7, 2025
Last Trade
Nov 9, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
54% won · 249 settled · +$1.0K

conceptcar3 is a Kalshi trader with 431 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 140 wins and 137 losses on settled markets, $180.24 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 9.

Win rate
51%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$159.6K
Typical trade
$194.00
Avg entry
46¢
Kalshi rank
#4,014

Profit over time

+$3.3K-$4.5K
Dec 7Nov 9

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4911%11%+0 pts
20 to 40¢8530%22%-8 pts
40 to 60¢11050%53%+3 pts
60 to 80¢9169%71%+2 pts
Over 80¢9690%88%-2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $9610837%-$970.55
$96 to $19410862%-$143.57
$194 to $57410837%-$7.9K
$575 to $2.5K10775%+$9.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin38853%+$1.4K
Commodities1356%-$325.47
Mentions1138%-$703.45
Golf10%-$94.62
Hockey60%-$30.23
NFL250%+$10.36

Side taken

Yes 44%56% No

If you had copied conceptcar3

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$103.59
Profit
on $12,400.00 staked
70-54
Record
56% win rate
-1%
Return
Profit over time124 settled trades
+$0.00-$103.59
Nov 2Nov 9
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
1443% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.98×
Profit factor
$5.3K won vs $5.4K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
56% won at 58¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
104 trades

By category

other7 settled+24%
crypto109 settled+1%
finance8 settled-54%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 9, 5 fills
No57¢sold 72¢$2.2K+$1.7K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 9, 4 fills
No73¢sold 67¢$1.2K+$427.88
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 9
Yes44¢$577.36-$577.36
See every position across 117 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $776.85 on No at 19¢, Nov 6
    +$3.3K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.7K on Yes at 35¢, Nov 6
    +$3.2K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.5K on No at 38¢, Nov 6
    +$2.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?46¢38753%+$1.3K
Gold price up in next 15 mins?74¢860%+$43.32
Natural Gas price up in next 15 mins?81¢550%-$368.79
What will Sam Altman say during The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon?69¢650%-$65.30
Will Powell say Pandemic at his Jan 2026 press conference?41¢10%-$288.11

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 12Nov 9

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$265.19
Jan 2026-$573.71
Nov 2026+$1.0K

Kalshi leaderboards

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