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Stats as of
craft.creek
+$801
- Tracked Trades
- 53
- First Seen
- Sep 29, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 18, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 27% won · 11 settled · +$754
craft.creek is a Kalshi trader with 53 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 18 wins and 20 losses on settled markets, $801 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes New Mexico,yes Colorado,yes Fresno St.,yes Nebraska on Oct 18.
- Win rate
- 47%
- Return on settled
- +272%
- Money traded
- $4.8K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Avg entry
- 3¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,735
Profit over time
+$846-$29
Sep 29Oct 18
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢226%11%+5 pts
20 to 40¢1630%87%+57 pts
40 to 60¢446%75%+29 pts
60 to 80¢368%
Over 80¢893%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $21475%+$6
$2 to $91333%-$11
$9 to $221325%+$750
$25 to $1.5K13100%+$56
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays1927%+$754
Baseball720%+$0
NFL860%+$63
Commodities20%-$9
College football1579%+$14
Weather10%-$21
Side taken
Yes 75%25% No
If you had copied craft.creek
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$5797
Profit
on $3800 staked
18-20
Record
47% win rate
+153%
Return
1 still open
+$5.8K-$318
Sep 28Oct 12
-$400
Max drawdown
489% below peak
14.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.90×
Profit factor
$7.8K won vs $2.0K lost
+27.8 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 20¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 4
- Deepest drawdown
- 4 trades
By category
sports35 settled+174%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes New Mexico,yes Colorado,yes Fresno St.,yes Nebraska
Oct 18
Parlay: Kentucky + Colorado + Tennessee + BYU
Oct 18, 2 fills
Notre Dame wins
Oct 18
Biggest wins
- 1+$739yes Kentucky,yes Georgia$23 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 11
- 2+$99yes Cincinnati,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Houston$19 on Yes at 16¢, Oct 11
- 3+$36San Francisco wins$26 on Yes at 42¢, Oct 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026TQJCK7PDYIDY46UG-RZOBD2TAN1+$0
yes Texas,yes Kentucky,yes Tennessee,yes Georgia,yes Colgate,yes Harvard,yes Kansas,yes Monmouth,yes Morehead St.,yes Indiana,yes Austin Peay1¢20%-$9
yes Kentucky,yes Georgia3¢5100%+$739
Parlay: Kentucky + Colorado + Tennessee + BYU1+$0
yes Cincinnati,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Houston16¢2100%+$99
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 21Oct 18
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$8
Oct 2026+$809
Kalshi leaderboards
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