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Stats as of

crazy.sal

-$1.8K
Tracked Trades
90
First Seen
Jan 3, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026

crazy.sal is a Kalshi trader with 90 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 3 wins and 20 losses on settled markets, -$1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democratic party win above 249 House seats in the 120th Congress? on Nov 3.

Win rate
13%
Return on settled
-70%
Money traded
$10.2K
Typical trade
$28.70
Avg entry
21¢
Kalshi rank
#5,221

Profit over time

+$84.00-$1.8K
Jan 4Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3211%0%-11 pts
20 to 40¢932%0%-32 pts
40 to 60¢2350%0%-50 pts
60 to 80¢1171%100%+29 pts
Over 80¢1589%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $9230%-$18.08
$9 to $30230%-$66.27
$30 to $1252217%-$302.94
$143 to $1.5K2225%-$1.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US politics400%-$1.3K
World politics8+$0.00
US elections348%-$571.43
College basketball4+$0.00
Economic data2+$0.00
NFL2100%+$84.00

Side taken

Yes 62%38% No

If you had copied crazy.sal

$100 per bet, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

1 of 5 needed have resolved. 33 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

7 open positions worth $536.31

The markets crazy.sal is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what crazy.sal is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 3 percentage points?
Nov 3
Sold Yessold 68¢$68.00Exited
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?
Nov 3
Sold Nosold 52¢$2.60Exited
Will James Talarico receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Hidalgo County, Texas?
Nov 3
Sold Nosold 90¢$29.70Exited
See every position across 15 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-4?
    $244.00 on No at 61¢, May 19
    +$156.00
  2. 2
    Carolina at Tampa Bay Winner?
    $316.00 on Yes at 79¢, Jan 4
    +$84.00
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy leave President of Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?37¢8+$0.00
Will Howard Lutnick be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?19¢120%-$1.3K
Will Howard Lutnick leaves Secretary of Commerce in before 2027?52¢28+$0.00
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-4?27¢425%-$484.90
Portland St. at Idaho St. Winner?8¢4+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Jan 2026+$84.00
Feb 2026-$1.3K
May 2026-$484.90
Oct 2026-$16.70
Nov 2026-$69.83

Kalshi leaderboards

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