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Stats as of

crowded.peafowl8978

+$7.2K
Tracked Trades
377
First Seen
Sep 29, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 23, 2026
Best In Parlays
54% won · 41 settled · +$8.9K

crowded.peafowl8978 is a Kalshi trader with 377 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 150 wins and 187 losses on settled markets, $7.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026O7KABVMQMBZNIUR7-KIYDQKOBW on Oct 23.

Win rate
45%
Return on settled
+8%
Money traded
$98.1K
Typical trade
$236.61
Avg entry
43¢
Kalshi rank
#1,086

Profit over time

+$9.6K-$2.8K
Sep 29Oct 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢388%7%-1 pts
20 to 40¢8531%43%+12 pts
40 to 60¢21550%44%-7 pts
60 to 80¢3367%67%+0 pts
Over 80¢689%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $639538%-$21.32
$65 to $2379438%-$1.7K
$237 to $4689451%+$3.0K
$469 to $1.5K9451%+$6.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
College football12039%+$2.3K
Parlays5954%+$8.9K
NFL5650%+$269.03
Hockey3033%-$3.8K
Bitcoin6061%+$1.4K
Tennis2435%-$457.01

Side taken

Yes 79%21% No

If you had copied crowded.peafowl8978

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$703.62
Profit
on $25,500.00 staked
117-138
Record
46% win rate
+3%
Return
Profit over time255 settled trades
+$703.62+$0.00
Sep 28Oct 19
-$2.3K
Max drawdown
207% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.05×
Profit factor
$14.5K won vs $13.8K lost
-0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
46% won at 46¢ avg
Longest losing streak
11
Deepest drawdown
78 trades

By category

other13 settled+58%
crypto31 settled+31%
sports203 settled-4%
finance8 settled-28%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026O7KABVMQMBZNIUR7-KIYDQKOBW
Oct 23
Sold Nosold 82¢$1.5KExited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026A4CQJ6OWQZAMOBD6-XF7RPTTVX
Oct 22
Yes48¢$756.44+$826.07
Parlay: Over 3.5 goals scored + Over 2.5 goals scored
Oct 22
Sold Nosold 89¢$545.57Exited
See every position across 261 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GFGUGGWRMJLBIWBQ-VP6HLLG7R
    $932.67 on Yes at 32¢, Oct 16
    +$2.0K
  2. 2
    yes CIN Bengals over 28.5 points,yes HOU Texans over 21.5 points,yes NE Patriots over 31.5 points
    $473.42 on Yes at 20¢, Oct 11
    +$1.9K
  3. 3
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026C1D56CA621D-214E0E24372
    $957.36 on Yes at 37¢, Oct 11
    +$1.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?37¢5458%+$1.5K
1st Period: Over 1.5 goals scored54¢1250%-$1.1K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026O7KABVMQMBZNIUR7-KIYDQKOBW1+$0.00
New York G wins21¢3+$0.00
Colorado wins53¢20%-$1.3K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 26Oct 23

Profit by month

Sep 2026-$415.37
Oct 2026+$7.7K

Kalshi leaderboards

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