rivomarkets

cycloid

+$15.8K
Tracked Trades
24,218
First Seen
Aug 19, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026

cycloid is a Kalshi trader with 24,218 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 656 wins and 723 losses on settled markets, $15.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Philadelphia win the MLS Cup? on Sep 20.

Win rate
48%
Return on settled
+14%
Money traded
$3.7M
Typical trade
$19
Copy score
45/100
Kalshi rank
#476

Profit over time

+$29.7K-$1.1K
Aug 19Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢232712%16%+4 pts
20 to 40¢484829%27%-2 pts
40 to 60¢762551%45%-6 pts
60 to 80¢601369%49%-20 pts
Over 80¢246887%90%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5582139%-$175
$5 to $19582041%-$467
$19 to $55582067%-$230
$55 to $46K582069%+$16.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports52957%+$1.1K
Culture15967%+$9.6K
Finance69+$0
Politics42+$0
Crypto5+$0

Side taken

Yes 74%26% No

If you had copied cycloid

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$20587
Profit
on $137900 staked
656-723
Record
48% win rate
-15%
Return
735 still open
Profit over time1379 settled trades
+$0-$31.0K
Aug 17Sep 14
-$33.6K
Max drawdown
2079% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.72×
Profit factor
$51.7K won vs $72.3K lost
-7.6 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 55¢ avg
Longest losing streak
225
Deepest drawdown
776 trades

By category

culture18 settled+46%
other1354 settled-16%
sports7 settled-23%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

89 open positions worth $224.5K

The markets cycloid is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what cycloid is holding

Recent positions

Will Philadelphia win the MLS Cup?
Sep 20, 95 fills, avg 4¢
SELLYES$207Open
Philadelphia wins 1H by over 3.5 points?
Sep 20, 4 fills, avg 53¢
SELLYES$64Open
Will Texas win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?
Sep 20, 2 fills, avg 3¢
SELLYES$17Open
See every position across 3,256 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXWTA-26USO-PEG
    $1.5K on No, Sep 2
    +$17.2K
  2. 2
    Full Game: over 151.5 points?
    $8.4K on Yes, Aug 26
    +$8.3K
  3. 3
    KXLIGAMXGAME-26AUG21JUAAME-JUA
    $1.0K on No, Aug 22
    +$5.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?536+$0
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?350+$0
Over 8.5 runs scored84044%-$732
Over 7.5 runs scored65623%-$861
Bayern Munich wins142+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$13.0K
Sep 2026+$2.9K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy cycloid on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.