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Stats as of
dawthegoat
-$546.04
- Tracked Trades
- 450
- First Seen
- Jan 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 1, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 19% won · 59 settled · +$381.90
dawthegoat is a Kalshi trader with 450 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 40 wins and 190 losses on settled markets, -$546.04 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Minnesota wins on Nov 1.
- Win rate
- 17%
- Return on settled
- -10%
- Money traded
- $16.9K
- Typical trade
- $16.58
- Avg entry
- 3¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,743
Profit over time
+$688.00-$1.2K
Jan 13Nov 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1536%2%-4 pts
20 to 40¢10330%28%-3 pts
40 to 60¢5448%33%-15 pts
60 to 80¢2066%0%-66 pts
Over 80¢2490%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5898%-$74.44
$6 to $178913%-$286.30
$17 to $338815%-$434.83
$33 to $2.0K8838%+$249.53
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays12820%+$484.71
NBA4217%+$19.03
Bitcoin11516%-$182.98
College basketball319%-$126.79
Baseball750%-$194.81
Tennis1911%-$119.69
Side taken
Yes 69%31% No
If you had copied dawthegoat
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$1,307.07
Profit
on $4,100.00 staked
7-34
Record
17% win rate
-32%
Return
21 still open
+$530.71-$1.3K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
307% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.62×
Profit factor
$2.1K won vs $3.4K lost
+5.3 pts
Edge vs implied
17% won at 12¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 10
- Deepest drawdown
- 37 trades
By category
sports40 settled-30%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
21 open positions worth $645.42
The markets dawthegoat is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Minnesota wins
Nov 1
no Over 249.5 points,no Over 242.5 points,no Over 238.5 points,no Over 236.5 points,no Over 225.5 points,no Over 247.5 points,no Over 6.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 6.5 goals scored,no Over 6.5 goals scored,no Over 6.5 goals scored,no Over 6.5 goals scored,no Over 6.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 6.5 goals scored,no Over 6.5 goals scored
Oct 31
no Aaron Wiggins: 5+,no Jalen Johnson: 3+,no Jeremiah Fears: 3+,no Dennis Schröder: 3+,yes Tyrese Maxey: 2+,no Derik Queen: 4+,no Jeremiah Fears: 8+,no Saddiq Bey: 4+,no Zion Williamson: 6+,no Dennis Schröder: 8+,no Naz Reid: 4+,no Deni Avdija: 10+,no Damian Lillard: 6+,no Jrue Holiday: 8+,no Keyonte George: 10+,no Jalen Johnson: 30+,no Kingston Flemings: 15+,no Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 30+,no Herbert Jones: 15+,no Zion Williamson: 30+,no Dennis Schröder: 20+,no Moussa Diabaté: 20+,no Naz Reid: 25+,no VJ Edgecombe: 25+,no Deni Avdija: 30+,no Donovan Clingan: 15+,no Damian Lillard: 30+,no Jrue Holiday: 20+,no Toumani Camara: 20+,no Darryn Peterson: 20+,no Keyonte George: 30+,no Lauri Markkanen: 30+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 20+,yes LeBron James: 10+,yes Tyrese Maxey: 20+,no CJ McCollum: 6+,no Tyrese Maxey: 8+,no Donovan Clingan: 14+,no Damian Lillard: 6+,no Jrue Holiday: 6+,no Scoot Henderson: 6+,no Toumani Camara: 6+,no Darryn Peterson: 8+,yes Deni Avdija: 4+,yes Ace Bailey: 2+
Oct 31
Biggest wins
- 1+$713.83yes New York,yes Portland$278.98 on Yes at 28¢, Oct 27
- 2+$699.49yes Houston,yes New York,yes Philadelphia$411.86 on Yes at 37¢, Oct 28
- 3+$476.50Denver wins$142.33 on Yes at 23¢, Oct 25
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Philadelphia,yes Milwaukee,yes Ryan Gandra,yes Adrian Yanez,yes Max Holloway,yes Damian Pinas,yes Luke Riley,yes Gable Steveson,yes England advances,yes USA advances,yes Spain advances,yes Portugal advances,yes Switzerland advances,yes Argentina advances,yes Colombia advances,yes Morocco advances,yes Norway advances,yes France advances,yes Mexico advances,yes New York0¢2+$0.00
BTC price up in next 15 mins?25¢11516%-$182.98
yes Detroit,yes Miami,yes Seattle,yes Boston,yes Atlanta,yes Minnesota2¢30%-$18.71
yes Boston,yes Miami,yes Philadelphia,yes Chicago C,yes St. Louis,yes Los Angeles D,yes Indiana,yes Minnesota4¢3+$0.00
Parlay: Washington + Houston1+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 4Nov 1
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$19.48
Feb 2026-$49.16
Mar 2026-$57.25
Apr 2026-$379.01
May 2026-$208.25
Jun 2026-$509.20
Jul 2026+$40.28
Aug 2026+$203.75
Oct 2026+$621.42
Nov 2026-$189.14
Kalshi leaderboards
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