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Stats as of
dead.pen
+$1.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 601
- First Seen
- Oct 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 26, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 59% won · 319 settled · +$1.7K
dead.pen is a Kalshi trader with 601 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 226 wins and 183 losses on settled markets, $1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 26.
- Win rate
- 55%
- Return on settled
- +6%
- Money traded
- $34.5K
- Typical trade
- $10.40
- Avg entry
- 46¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,006
Profit over time
+$3.3K-$803.00
Oct 13Oct 26
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢928%5%-3 pts
20 to 40¢10332%32%+0 pts
40 to 60¢18551%48%-3 pts
60 to 80¢11468%78%+10 pts
Over 80¢10794%98%+4 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $315151%+$0.07
$3 to $1015047%-$76.89
$11 to $4515054%-$230.54
$45 to $4.9K15067%+$2.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin46059%+$1.7K
Commodities3247%+$170.81
Solana3252%+$0.04
Ethereum5045%-$36.10
Parlays120%-$37.26
NFL875%-$6.39
Side taken
Yes 57%43% No
If you had copied dead.pen
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$656.35
Profit
on $30,400.00 staked
169-135
Record
56% win rate
-2%
Return
+$0.00-$2.0K
Oct 12Oct 26
-$2.2K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.95×
Profit factor
$12.8K won vs $13.5K lost
+2.4 pts
Edge vs implied
56% won at 53¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 113 trades
By category
crypto274 settled+2%
finance13 settled-18%
sports16 settled-62%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 26, 5 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 26
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 26
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.4KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$3.5K on Yes at 51¢, Oct 26
- 2+$1.5KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.5K on Yes at 51¢, Oct 26
- 3+$805.44BTC price up in next 15 mins?$607.61 on Yes at 43¢, Oct 26
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?52¢41959%+$1.7K
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?71¢1283%+$279.29
Gold price up in next 15 mins?78¢1540%-$48.93
SOL price up in next 15 mins?46¢3252%+$0.04
yes Las Vegas,yes Carolina,yes Atlanta,yes Dallas,yes Houston,yes New Orleans,yes Tampa Bay,yes San Francisco0¢20%-$1.83
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 29Oct 26
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$1.8K
Kalshi leaderboards
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