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Stats as of

dear.bet

+$250
Tracked Trades
997
First Seen
Sep 16, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Best In Mentions
47% won · 940 settled · +$250

dear.bet is a Kalshi trader with 997 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 441 wins and 499 losses on settled markets, $250 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: What will Michael S. Barr say during Detroit Economic Club: State of the U.S. Economy originally scheduled for September 29, 2026? on Sep 29.

Win rate
47%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$10.0K
Typical trade
$3
Avg entry
45¢
Kalshi rank
#4,929

Profit over time

+$569-$662
Sep 16Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢10612%12%+0 pts
20 to 40¢27231%24%-7 pts
40 to 60¢27251%50%-1 pts
60 to 80¢27268%74%+6 pts
Over 80¢7587%83%-3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125037%+$26
$1 to $324945%-$47
$3 to $924948%-$179
$9 to $47624958%+$450

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Mentions99447%+$250
US elections3+$0

Side taken

Yes 94%6% No

If you had copied dear.bet

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$4535
Profit
on $94000 staked
441-499
Record
47% win rate
-5%
Return
7 still open
Profit over time940 settled trades
+$0-$5.9K
Sep 14Sep 28
-$22.8K
Max drawdown
394% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.91×
Profit factor
$45.4K won vs $49.9K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 48¢ avg
Longest losing streak
33
Deepest drawdown
456 trades

By category

culture940 settled-5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

4 open positions worth $19

The markets dear.bet is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what dear.bet is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
What will Michael S. Barr say during Detroit Economic Club: State of the U.S. Economy originally scheduled for September 29, 2026?
Sep 29
Yes67¢$7+$3
What will Dr. Mehmet Oz say during MAHA Summit: Reform at CMS originally scheduled for September 29, 2026?
Sep 29
Yes71¢$12+$5
What will Dr. Mehmet Oz say during MAHA Summit: Reform at CMS originally scheduled for September 29, 2026?
Sep 29, 3 fills
Yes78¢$25+$7
See every position across 204 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    What will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say during the United Nations General Assembly?
    $271 on Yes at 51¢, Sep 23
    +$264
  2. 2
    What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: America Reports originally scheduled for September 24, 2026?
    $167 on Yes at 51¢, Sep 24
    +$162
  3. 3
    What will Jensen Huang say during CBS News Sunday Morning originally scheduled for September 20, 2026?
    $477 on Yes at 75¢, Sep 19
    +$157
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
What will Donald Trump say during any United Nations meeting or event, excluding remarks to the United Nations General Assembly, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026?60¢25100%+$473
What will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say during the United Nations General Assembly?58¢8281%+$355
What will Jensen Huang say during CBS News Sunday Morning originally scheduled for September 20, 2026?67¢2260%+$77
What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: America Reports originally scheduled for September 24, 2026?50¢6677%+$245
What will Melania Trump say during Fostering the Future Together originally scheduled for September 22, 2026?36¢1094%-$408

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$250

Kalshi leaderboards

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