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Stats as of
dearconfidential
+$7.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 469
- First Seen
- Sep 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 24, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 55% won · 253 settled · +$7.1K
dearconfidential is a Kalshi trader with 469 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 141 wins and 121 losses on settled markets, $7.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 24.
- Win rate
- 54%
- Return on settled
- +24%
- Money traded
- $51.1K
- Typical trade
- $33.09
- Avg entry
- 41¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,089
Profit over time
+$10.1K+$0.00
Sep 11Oct 6
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6010%16%+6 pts
20 to 40¢13631%39%+7 pts
40 to 60¢17151%59%+8 pts
60 to 80¢8667%79%+12 pts
Over 80¢1686%50%-36 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1311837%+$41.89
$13 to $3311752%+$214.27
$33 to $9511759%+$1.4K
$95 to $1.3K11767%+$5.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin45855%+$7.1K
Parlays640%+$89.99
Boxing433%+$3.56
MMA10%-$18.75
Side taken
Yes 51%49% No
If you had copied dearconfidential
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$1,682.37
Profit
on $18,400.00 staked
93-91
Record
51% win rate
+9%
Return
+$1.7K+$0.00
Sep 7Oct 5
-$1.7K
Max drawdown
89% below peak
1.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.18×
Profit factor
$10.8K won vs $9.1K lost
+4.9 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 46¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 5
- Deepest drawdown
- 48 trades
By category
sports9 settled+48%
crypto171 settled+9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 24
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 9
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 9, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.8KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$2.0K on Yes at 42¢, Oct 5
- 2+$1.1KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.4K on Yes at 55¢, Oct 4
- 3+$1.0KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.7K on Yes at 62¢, Oct 6
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?41¢45855%+$7.1K
yes Alexander Zverev,yes Shane Lowry,yes Washington,yes San Diego,yes Miami,yes Elena Rybakina11¢2100%+$74.61
yes Arman Tsarukyan,yes Joshua van44¢1100%+$99.96
yes Doo Ho Choi,yes Arman Tsarukyan,yes Joshua van31¢10%-$46.74
yes Fight goes the distance,yes Arman Tsarukyan20¢10%-$28.41
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 27Oct 24
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$868.12
Oct 2026+$6.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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