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Stats as of

decisive.carp2339

-$74
Tracked Trades
771
First Seen
Jun 28, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026
Best In Baseball
95% won · 58 settled · +$1.5K

decisive.carp2339 is a Kalshi trader with 771 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 368 wins and 291 losses on settled markets, -$74 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026893AA0764AE-1619DB35381 on Sep 30.

Win rate
56%
Return on settled
+-0%
Money traded
$59.0K
Typical trade
$22
Avg entry
45¢
Kalshi rank
#4,875

Profit over time

+$3.0K-$1.6K
Jun 28Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1349%12%+3 pts
20 to 40¢10731%35%+4 pts
40 to 60¢25951%44%-7 pts
60 to 80¢17465%82%+17 pts
Over 80¢9786%94%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $419357%+$57
$4 to $2219355%+$161
$22 to $9419353%-$600
$94 to $1.1K19258%+$308

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis40659%-$2.3K
Parlays12836%-$161
Baseball6595%+$1.5K
NFL2457%+$1.1K
Esports3060%-$238
Bitcoin6143%+$447

Side taken

Yes 83%17% No

If you had copied decisive.carp2339

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$5245
Profit
on $62600 staked
358-268
Record
57% win rate
+8%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time626 settled trades
+$5.2K+$0
Aug 17Sep 28
-$3.4K
Max drawdown
55% below peak
1.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.20×
Profit factor
$32.0K won vs $26.8K lost
+4.4 pts
Edge vs implied
57% won at 53¢ avg
Longest losing streak
28
Deepest drawdown
65 trades

By category

crypto37 settled+49%
sports575 settled+7%
finance8 settled-27%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026893AA0764AE-1619DB35381
Sep 30
Sold Nosold 90¢$1.1KExited
yes Austin Riley: 1+,yes Matt Olson: 1+,yes Ronald Acuña Jr.: 1+,yes Brandon Marsh: 1+,yes Kyle Schwarber: 1+,yes Trea Turner: 1+
Sep 30
Yes7¢$80-$80
Gonzalo Villanueva wins
Sep 30, 5 fills
Yes84¢$198+$38
See every position across 266 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes North Alabama,yes BYU,yes UConn,yes Dayton,yes Fordham,yes Alabama,yes Western Illinois,yes Morgan St.,yes Tarleton St.,yes Marshall,yes Mississippi St.,yes Notre Dame,yes Gardner-Webb,yes South Alabama,yes Austin Peay,yes South Carolina St.,yes Missouri,yes Nebraska,yes Oklahoma,yes Chattanooga
    $480 on Yes at 40¢, Sep 20
    +$714
  2. 2
    yes Patrick Mahomes: 300+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 90+
    $334 on Yes at 32¢, Sep 21
    +$709
  3. 3
    yes Dustin May: 2+,yes Zack Wheeler: 4+,yes Jared Jones: 3+,yes Andre Pallante: 2+,yes Drew Anderson: 3+,yes Payton Tolle: 3+,yes Parker Messick: 3+
    $481 on Yes at 43¢, Sep 22
    +$635
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Theo Herrmann wins81¢20%-$797
BTC price up in next 15 mins?33¢6143%+$447
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026893AA0764AE-1619DB353811+$0
Kansas City wins63¢2100%+$573
Henry Bernet wins87¢1100%+$128

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$33
Jul 2026-$667
Aug 2026-$918
Sep 2026+$1.5K

Kalshi leaderboards

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