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Stats as of
dfraser27
-$19.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 218
- First Seen
- Jan 16, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 17% won · 36 settled · +$4.5K
dfraser27 is a Kalshi trader with 218 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 72 wins and 84 losses on settled markets, -$19.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026TV4WUJLVWCMGJ22P-Z43BAE3KF on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 46%
- Return on settled
- -8%
- Money traded
- $344.6K
- Typical trade
- $395.60
- Avg entry
- 44¢
- Kalshi rank
- #6,497
Profit over time
+$11.6K-$27.6K
Jan 16Oct 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢735%13%+7 pts
20 to 40¢2529%26%-3 pts
40 to 60¢3651%53%+2 pts
60 to 80¢4969%65%-4 pts
Over 80¢3588%74%-14 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$5 to $1435512%-$911.21
$146 to $3965540%+$10.2K
$419 to $2.1K5451%-$7.3K
$2.2K to $13K5469%-$21.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NBA7754%-$18.5K
College basketball4159%-$10.6K
Parlays4314%+$654.97
NFL986%+$4.5K
Weather3944%+$3.7K
Baseball675%+$666.99
Side taken
Yes 72%28% No
If you had copied dfraser27
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$1,917.11
Profit
on $3,000.00 staked
7-23
Record
23% win rate
+64%
Return
+$1.9K-$1.2K
Aug 24Oct 26
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
1.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.83×
Profit factor
$4.2K won vs $2.3K lost
+8.6 pts
Edge vs implied
23% won at 15¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 13 trades
By category
sports29 settled+70%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026TV4WUJLVWCMGJ22P-Z43BAE3KF
Oct 31
yes Washington,yes Boston,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Miami,yes Minnesota,yes Los Angeles L,yes Toronto
Oct 30
yes Denver,yes Los Angeles L,yes Dallas,yes San Antonio,yes Green Bay
Oct 30
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.5KCleveland at Detroit Winner?$12.8K on Yes at 74¢, Feb 27
- 2+$4.0Kyes Toronto,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles L,yes Indiana,yes Washington,yes Portland,yes Los Angeles C$238.79 on Yes at 6¢, Oct 21
- 3+$3.0Kyes Detroit,yes Denver,yes Houston,yes New York,yes Toronto,yes Philadelphia,yes San Antonio,yes Cleveland$234.68 on Yes at 7¢, Oct 28
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Cleveland at Detroit Winner?68¢533%+$4.0K
San Antonio at New York Winner?35¢20%-$4.7K
San Antonio at Brooklyn Winner?84¢2100%+$2.2K
yes Atlanta,yes Indiana,yes San Antonio,yes Los Angeles L,yes Golden State,yes Minnesota,yes Boston,yes Portland,yes Toronto2¢20%-$233.64
Louisville at Duke Winner?80¢4100%+$2.3K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$7.1K
Feb 2026+$7.5K
Mar 2026-$15.3K
Apr 2026-$10.9K
Aug 2026-$187.29
Sep 2026-$704.81
Oct 2026+$7.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
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