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Stats as of

Dfrau08

dfrau08

+$3.0K
Tracked Trades
133
First Seen
Jun 9, 2025
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
64% won · 61 settled · +$6.6K

Dfrau08 is a Kalshi trader with 133 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 42 wins and 39 losses on settled markets, $3.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 4.

Win rate
52%
Return on settled
+18%
Money traded
$33.7K
Typical trade
$133.38
Avg entry
50¢
Kalshi rank
#1,063

Profit over time

+$3.2K-$208.00
Jun 9Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢107%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢1832%9%-23 pts
40 to 60¢4352%52%+0 pts
60 to 80¢3868%78%+10 pts
Over 80¢2493%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $263430%-$128.91
$27 to $1333342%-$522.52
$136 to $4223365%+$396.03
$422 to $2.8K3383%+$3.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin10163%+$2.4K
NFL960%+$491.64
Ethereum350%+$356.96
Solana30%-$94.23
Soccer913%-$165.38
Parlays30%-$6.15

Side taken

Yes 62%38% No

If you had copied Dfrau08

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$482.69
Profit
on $6,100.00 staked
33-28
Record
54% win rate
-8%
Return
Profit over time61 settled trades
+$0.00-$607.18
Oct 19Nov 2
-$805.71
Max drawdown
1636% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.83×
Profit factor
$2.3K won vs $2.8K lost
+2.8 pts
Edge vs implied
54% won at 51¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
42 trades

By category

crypto53 settled-3%
sports8 settled-43%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $63.65

The markets Dfrau08 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Dfrau08 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 4
Yes44¢$20.85-$20.85
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 3, 2 fills
No65¢$76.92-$76.92
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 3, 6 fills
No52¢sold 63¢$66.75-$66.75
See every position across 66 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.4K on Yes at 53¢, Oct 24
    +$1.3K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.0K on Yes at 65¢, Oct 24
    +$560.00
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $190.28 on No at 27¢, Oct 31
    +$514.46
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?61¢10163%+$2.4K
Chicago wins67¢2100%+$240.70
Full Game: over 44.5 points scored?59¢2100%+$271.04
ETH price up in next 15 mins?46¢350%+$356.96
SOL price up in next 15 mins?31¢30%-$94.23

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Jun 2025-$11.34
Sep 2025-$114.39
Oct 2025-$66.75
Jul 2026-$15.24
Oct 2026+$3.1K
Nov 2026+$31.71

Kalshi leaderboards

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