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Stats as of

Dinkelschmidt

dinkelschmidt

+$4.1K
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 2, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 20, 2026
Best In US politics
86% won · 314 settled · +$2.2K

Dinkelschmidt is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 454 wins and 185 losses on settled markets, $4.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 20, 2026? on Oct 20.

Win rate
71%
Return on settled
+7%
Money traded
$73.3K
Typical trade
$9
Avg entry
73¢
Kalshi rank
#1,624

Profit over time

+$4.1K-$374
Sep 2Oct 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2579%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢9129%11%-18 pts
40 to 60¢9347%50%+3 pts
60 to 80¢10072%85%+13 pts
Over 80¢45992%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $225049%-$38
$2 to $925062%-$183
$9 to $3425082%-$24
$35 to $3.2K25089%+$4.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US politics39486%+$2.2K
Tennis20849%+$1.4K
Mentions9564%+$42
Entertainment1130%-$7
College football7683%+$135
Fed and rates1100%+$240

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied Dinkelschmidt

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$9712
Profit
on $63900 staked
454-185
Record
71% win rate
-15%
Return
70 still open
Profit over time639 settled trades
+$0-$9.9K
Aug 31Oct 19
-$11.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.48×
Profit factor
$8.8K won vs $18.5K lost
+3.3 pts
Edge vs implied
71% won at 68¢ avg
Longest losing streak
22
Deepest drawdown
359 trades

By category

politics314 settled+0%
culture84 settled-19%
sports240 settled-34%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

7 open positions worth $2.6K

The markets Dinkelschmidt is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Dinkelschmidt is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 20, 2026?
Oct 20, 33 fills
Yes99¢$1.2K+$12
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.9 on Oct 20, 2026?
Oct 19
Sold Yessold 25¢$1Exited
Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 39.1 on Oct 19, 2026?
Oct 19, 6 fills
No98¢$3.9K+$80
See every position across 107 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Carlos Alcaraz wins
    $1.1K on No at 42¢, Sep 9
    +$1.4K
  2. 2
    Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 17, 2026?
    $4.8K on Yes at 88¢, Oct 17
    +$658
  3. 3
    Ben Shelton wins
    $973 on Yes at 62¢, Sep 9
    +$597
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 39.0 on Oct 18, 2026?98¢6100%+$144
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 17, 2026?88¢32100%+$658
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.8 on Oct 16, 2026?99¢39100%+$44
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.1 on Oct 9, 2026?97¢5878%+$38
Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.1 on Oct 11, 2026?98¢8100%+$80

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 23Oct 20

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.9K
Oct 2026+$2.2K

Kalshi leaderboards

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