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Stats as of
doubt.limb
-$437.08
- Tracked Trades
- 401
- First Seen
- May 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 21, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 44% won · 61 settled · +$4.6K
doubt.limb is a Kalshi trader with 401 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 113 wins and 234 losses on settled markets, -$437.08 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Oklahoma City wins by over 1.5 points on Oct 21.
- Win rate
- 33%
- Return on settled
- -1%
- Money traded
- $79.7K
- Typical trade
- $143.34
- Avg entry
- 32¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,485
Profit over time
+$1.5K-$2.1K
May 14Oct 21
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1049%17%+8 pts
20 to 40¢10930%27%-3 pts
40 to 60¢14450%45%-5 pts
60 to 80¢2368%64%-4 pts
Over 80¢2189%0%-89 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $6810119%+$1.2K
$68 to $14310022%-$9.85
$143 to $24910049%+$1.4K
$255 to $2.0K10042%-$3.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball11223%-$5.6K
Tennis6455%+$3.2K
College football6033%-$2.2K
NFL6544%+$4.6K
NBA540%-$1.3K
Golf100%-$285.67
Side taken
Yes 75%25% No
If you had copied doubt.limb
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$2,549.63
Profit
on $22,900.00 staked
85-144
Record
37% win rate
+11%
Return
+$3.0K-$797.26
Aug 10Oct 19
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
260% below peak
1.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.18×
Profit factor
$16.9K won vs $14.4K lost
-0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
37% won at 38¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 28 trades
By category
sports214 settled+12%
finance5 settled+1%
crypto9 settled-7%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Oklahoma City wins by over 1.5 points
Oct 21
New York wins
Oct 20
Detroit wins
Oct 20, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.8KGreen Bay wins$1.8K on Yes at 50¢, Oct 19
- 2+$1.2Kyes Josue De Paula: 4+,no New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs,no Florida wins by over 13.5 points$68.21 on Yes at 5¢, Sep 20
- 3+$1.2KBaltimore wins$981.18 on Yes at 46¢, Aug 25
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Miho Kuramochi wins59¢9100%+$1.4K
Cleveland wins38¢1554%+$372.36
Anna Bondar wins25¢60%-$1.1K
Los Angeles D wins54¢740%-$735.80
Green Bay wins49¢250%+$1.6K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 24Oct 21
Profit by month
May 2026-$1.3K
Jun 2026-$408.34
Jul 2026+$440.82
Aug 2026-$416.70
Sep 2026+$1.2K
Oct 2026+$33.93
Kalshi leaderboards
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