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Stats as of

dragoon1812

+$1.0K
Tracked Trades
684
First Seen
Sep 5, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 24, 2026

dragoon1812 is a Kalshi trader with 684 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 66 wins and 568 losses on settled markets, $1.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B4LVQ6OZ2GRHSURT-VOUTAMI7M on Oct 24.

Win rate
10%
Return on settled
+24%
Money traded
$18.3K
Typical trade
$3.53
Avg entry
6¢
Kalshi rank
#3,746

Profit over time

+$1.2K-$1.3K
Oct 21Oct 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4337%3%-4 pts
20 to 40¢16529%25%-3 pts
40 to 60¢6446%28%-19 pts
60 to 80¢1165%33%-32 pts
Over 80¢1195%100%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $21711%-$184.27
$2 to $41715%-$285.81
$4 to $917113%+$2.1K
$9 to $2.4K17128%-$575.86

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Commodities49211%-$990.90
Parlays817%+$2.5K
Bitcoin1848%-$462.17

Side taken

Yes 51%49% No

If you had copied dragoon1812

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$51,888.88
Profit
on $9,600.00 staked
21-75
Record
22% win rate
+541%
Return
-$3.3K
Max drawdown
2003% below peak
15.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
7.92×
Profit factor
$59.4K won vs $7.5K lost
-6.5 pts
Edge vs implied
22% won at 28¢ avg
Longest losing streak
15
Deepest drawdown
77 trades

By category

sports5 settled+11011%
finance60 settled-25%
crypto31 settled-53%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B4LVQ6OZ2GRHSURT-VOUTAMI7M
Oct 24
Sold Nosold 91¢$2.3KExited
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 23, 30 fills
No1¢$45.28-$45.28
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 23
No0¢$4.58-$4.58
See every position across 88 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Atlanta wins by over 2.5 points,no Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 points,no Indiana wins by over 6.5 points,no San Antonio wins by over 5.5 points,no Los Angeles L wins by over 9.5 points,no Golden State wins by over 3.5 points,yes Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points,no Utah wins by over 3.5 points,yes Portland wins by over 7.5 points,yes Toronto wins by over 5.5 points
    $4.50 on Yes at 0¢, Oct 23
    +$2.5K
  2. 2
    Gold price up in next 15 mins?
    $52.52 on No at 18¢, Oct 22
    +$240.62
  3. 3
    Gold price up in next 15 mins?
    $83.51 on Yes at 33¢, Oct 22
    +$171.75
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Gold price up in next 15 mins?7¢49211%-$990.90
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B4LVQ6OZ2GRHSURT-VOUTAMI7M1+$0.00
BTC price up in next 15 mins?5¢1848%-$462.17
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026C5E25D6733E-5993D63DBDC1+$0.00
yes Houston,yes Orlando wins by over 2.5 points,yes Brooklyn wins by over 3.5 points,yes Toronto wins by over 5.5 points,yes Indiana wins by over 4.5 points,yes Washington wins by over 5.5 points,yes Miami wins by over 3.5 points,yes Portland wins by over 4.5 points,yes Los Angeles C wins by over 4.5 points,yes Utah wins by over 4.5 points0¢20%-$5.54

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 27Oct 24

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$1.0K

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